Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31310029›Full record

ArticleTropical medicine & international health : TM & IH2019

Decreased risk of HIV-associated TB during antiretroviral therapy expansion in rural Eswatini from 2009 to 2016: a cohort and population-based analysis.

Bernhard Kerschberger, Michael Schomaker, Alex Telnov, Debrah Vambe, Nicholas Kisyeri, Welile Sikhondze, Lorraine Pasipamire, Siphiwe Mavis Ngwenya, Barbara Rusch, Iza Ciglenecki and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tropical medicine & international health : TM & IH, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Bernhard KerschbergerMédecins Sans Frontières (Operational Centre Geneva), Mbabane, Eswatini.
Michael SchomakerCentre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Alex TelnovMédecins Sans Frontières (Operational Centre Geneva), Geneva, Switzerland.
Debrah VambeNational TB Control Program, Ministry of Health, Manzini, Eswatini.
Nicholas KisyeriEswatini National AIDS Programme, Ministry of Health, Mbabane, Eswatini.
Welile SikhondzeNational TB Control Program, Ministry of Health, Manzini, Eswatini.
Lorraine PasipamireMédecins Sans Frontières (Operational Centre Geneva), Mbabane, Eswatini.
Siphiwe Mavis NgwenyaNational TB Control Program, Ministry of Health, Manzini, Eswatini.
Barbara RuschMédecins Sans Frontières (Operational Centre Geneva), Geneva, Switzerland.
Iza CigleneckiMédecins Sans Frontières (Operational Centre Geneva), Geneva, Switzerland.
Andrew BoulleCentre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThis paper assesses patient- and population-level trends in TB notifications during rapid expansion of antiretroviral therapy in Eswatini which has an extremely high incidence of both TB and HIV.

methodsPatient- and population-level predictors and rates of HIV-associated TB were examined in the Shiselweni region in Eswatini from 2009 to 2016. Annual population-level denominators obtained from projected census data and prevalence estimates obtained from population-based surveys were combined with individual-level TB treatment data. Patient- and population-level predictors of HIV-associated TB were assessed with multivariate logistic and multivariate negative binomial regression models.

resultsOf 11 328 TB cases, 71.4% were HIV co-infected and 51.8% were women. TB notifications decreased fivefold between 2009 and 2016, from 1341 to 269 cases per 100 000 person-years. The decline was sixfold in PLHIV vs. threefold in the HIV-negative population. Main patient-level predictors of HIV-associated TB were recurrent TB treatment (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.40, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.19-1.65), negative (aOR 1.31, 1.15-1.49) and missing (aOR 1.30, 1.11-1.53) bacteriological status and diagnosis at secondary healthcare level (aOR 1.18, 1.06-1.33). Compared with 2009, the probability of TB decreased for all years from 2011 (aOR 0.69, 0.58-0.83) to 2016 (aOR 0.54, 0.43-0.69). The most pronounced population-level predictor of TB was HIV-positive status (adjusted incidence risk ratio 19.47, 14.89-25.46).

conclusionsThis high HIV-TB prevalence setting experienced a rapid decline in TB notifications, most pronounced in PLHIV. Achievements in HIV-TB programming were likely contributing factors.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAge FactorsAnti-HIV AgentsEswatiniFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsSex FactorsTuberculosisYoung AdultAnti-HIV AgentsART expansionexpansion de l’ARTSwazilandtemporal trendstendances temporellestuberculosetuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID31310029
PMCPMC6852273

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.