Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31308372›Full record

ArticleNature communications2019

Using "outbreak science" to strengthen the use of models during epidemics.

Caitlin Rivers, Jean-Paul Chretien, Steven Riley, Julie A Pavlin, Alexandra Woodward, David Brett-Major, Irina Maljkovic Berry, Lindsay Morton, Richard G Jarman, Matthew Biggerstaff and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 55 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
55citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

55 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Mechanics of pandemics.EClinicalMedicine · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. When the role of uncertainty is…uncertain.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  14. How to avoid a local epidemic becoming a global pandemic.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Toward COVID-19 Contact Tracing though Wi-Fi Probes.Sensors (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Caitlin RiversJohns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Baltimore, MD, 21202, USA. crivers6@jhu.edu.
Jean-Paul ChretienDepartment of Defense, Fort Detrick, MD, 21702, USA.
Steven RileyMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College, London, UK.
Julie A PavlinNational Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, Washington, DC, 20006, USA.
Alexandra WoodwardCherokee Nation Strategic Programs, Tulsa, OK, 74116, USA.
David Brett-MajorDepartment of Preventive Medicine & Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University, Bethesda, MD, 20814, USA.
Irina Maljkovic BerryViral Diseases Branch, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, MD, 20910, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8555-5352
Lindsay MortonCherokee Nation Strategic Programs, Tulsa, OK, 74116, USA.
Richard G JarmanViral Diseases Branch, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, MD, 20910, USA.
Matthew BiggerstaffInfluenza Division, Centers for Disease Control & Prevention, Atlanta, GA, 30333, USA.
Michael A JohanssonDivision of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control & Prevention, Atlanta, PR, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5090-7722
Nicholas G ReichDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts Amherst School of Public Health and Health Sciences, Amherst, MA, 01003, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3503-9899
Diane MeyerJohns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Baltimore, MD, 21202, USA.
Michael R SnyderJohns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Baltimore, MD, 21202, USA.
Simon PollettDepartment of Preventive Medicine & Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University, Bethesda, MD, 20814, USA.

Funding

Statistical methods for real-time forecasts of infectious disease: expanding dynamic time-series and machine learning approaches for pandemic scenariosR35GM119582 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF MASSACHUSETTS AMHERST · PI Nicholas G Reich · 2016 to 2026
$4.8M
Models for synthesising molecular, clinical and epidemiological data, and translaU01GM110721 · NIGMS · IMPERIAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND MEDICINE · PI CAUCHEMEZ, SIMON, FERGUSON, NEIL MORRIS · 2014 to 2018
$1.9M
Medical Research Council MR/J008761/1Medical Research Council MR/R015600/1NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM119582NIGMS NIH HHS U01 GM110721Wellcome Trust 200861/Z/16/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

PubMed holds no abstract for this paper.

Indexed as

Decision Support TechniquesDisease OutbreaksCivil DefenseHemorrhagic Fever, EbolaHumansInterdisciplinary CommunicationPublic Health

Identifiers

PMID31308372
PMCPMC6629683

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.