Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31308227›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2019

Historical reconstruction unveils the risk of mass mortality and ecosystem collapse during pancontinental megadrought.

Robert C Godfree, Nunzio Knerr, Denise Godfree, John Busby, Bruce Robertson, Francisco Encinas-Viso

Abstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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  7. Historical reconstruction unveils the risk of mass mortality and ecosystem collapse during pancontinental megadrought.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2019
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Robert C GodfreeCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization National Research Collections Australia, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia; Robert.Godfree@csiro.au.
Nunzio KnerrCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization National Research Collections Australia, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.
Denise GodfreePrivate address, Narrabri, NSW 2390, Australia.
John BusbyCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization National Research Collections Australia, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.
Bruce RobertsonCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization National Research Collections Australia, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.
Francisco Encinas-VisoCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization National Research Collections Australia, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

An important new hypothesis in landscape ecology is that extreme, decade-scale megadroughts can be potent drivers of rapid, macroscale ecosystem degradation and collapse. If true, an increase in such events under climate change could have devastating consequences for global biodiversity. However, because few megadroughts have occurred in the modern ecological era, the taxonomic breadth, trophic depth, and geographic pattern of these impacts remain unknown. Here we use ecohistorical techniques to quantify the impact of a record, pancontinental megadrought period (1891 to 1903 CE) on the Australian biota. We show that during this event mortality and severe stress was recorded in >45 bird, mammal, fish, reptile, and plant families in arid, semiarid, dry temperate, and Mediterranean ecosystems over at least 2.8 million km

Indexed as

EcosystemExtinction, BiologicalModels, BiologicalAnimalsAustraliaDroughtsHistory, 19th CenturyHistory, 20th CenturyHumansecosystem collapseFederation Droughtmass mortalitymegadroughttrophic impact

Identifiers

PMID31308227
PMCPMC6681765

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.