Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31304961›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2020

Projected Number of People With Onchocerciasis-Loiasis Coinfection in Africa, 1995 to 2025.

Natalie V S Vinkeles Melchers, Luc E Coffeng, Michel Boussinesq, Belén Pedrique, Sébastien D S Pion, Afework H Tekle, Honorat G M Zouré, Samuel Wanji, Jan H Remme, Wilma A Stolk

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 35% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

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  13. Evaluation of the in vitro susceptibility of various filarial nematodes to emodepside.International journal for parasitology. Drugs and drug resistance · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 7 institutions in 5 countries.

Natalie V S Vinkeles MelchersDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Luc E CoffengDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Michel BoussinesqUnité Mixte Internationale 233 TransVIHMI, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD), INSERM U1175, University of Montpellier, Montpellier, France.
Belén PedriqueResearch & Development Department, Drugs for Neglected Diseases initiative, and, Geneva, Switzerland.
Sébastien D S PionUnité Mixte Internationale 233 TransVIHMI, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD), INSERM U1175, University of Montpellier, Montpellier, France.
Afework H TeklePreventive Chemotherapy and Transmission Control Unit, Control of Neglected Tropical Diseases Department, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Honorat G M ZouréExpanded Special Project for Elimination of Neglected Tropical Diseases (ESPEN), World Health Organization, Regional Office for Africa, Cité du Djoué, Brazzaville, Republic of Congo.
Samuel WanjiParasites and Vectors Research Unit, Department of Microbiology and Parasitology, University of Buea, Cameroon.
Jan H RemmeOrnex, France.
Wilma A StolkDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Erasmus MC · NLInserm · FRDrugs for Neglected Diseases Initiative · CHORT France · FRUniversity of Buea · CMWorld Health Organization · CHWorld Health Organization Regional Office for Africa · CG

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOnchocerciasis elimination through mass drug administration (MDA) is hampered by coendemicity of Loa loa, as people with high L. loa microfilariae (mf) density can develop serious adverse events (SAEs) after ivermectin treatment. We assessed the geographical overlap of onchocerciasis and loiasis prevalence and estimated the number of coinfected individuals at risk of post-ivermectin SAEs in West and Central Africa from 1995 to 2025.

methodsFocusing on regions with suspected loiasis transmission in 14 countries, we overlaid precontrol maps of loiasis and onchocerciasis prevalence to calculate precontrol prevalence of coinfection by 5 km2 × 5 km2 pixel, distinguishing different categories of L. loa mf intensity. Using statistical and mathematical models, we predicted prevalence of both infections and coinfection for 2015 and 2025, accounting for the impact of MDA with ivermectin.

resultsThe number of people infected with onchocerciasis was predicted to decline from almost 19 million in 1995 to 4 million in 2025. Of these, 137 000 people were estimated to also have L. loa hypermicrofilaremia (≥20 000 L. loa mf/mL) in 1995, declining to 31 000 in 2025. In 2025, 92.8% of coinfected cases with loiasis hypermicrofilaremia are predicted to live in hypoendemic areas currently not targeted for MDA.

conclusionsLoiasis coinfection is a major concern for onchocerciasis elimination in Africa. We predict that under current strategies, at least 31 000 coinfected people still require treatment for onchocerciasis in 2025 while being at risk of SAEs, justifying continued efforts in research and development for safer drugs and control strategies.

Indexed as

CoinfectionLoiasisOnchocerciasisAfricaAnimalsHumansIvermectinLoaIvermectinLoa loamass drug administrationonchocerciasisONCHOSIMserious adverse events

Identifiers

PMID31304961
PMCPMC7245158
OpenAlexW2771919954

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.