Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31303263›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of human genetics2019

Comparing Within- and Between-Family Polygenic Score Prediction.

Saskia Selzam, Stuart J Ritchie, Jean-Baptiste Pingault, Chandra A Reynolds, Paul F O'Reilly, Robert Plomin

Abstract readComparative StudyTwin Study
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of human genetics, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 177 papers, 9 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
177citing papers in PubMed, 9 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

177 citing papers in PubMed, 9 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Pooled it
  7. Pooled it
  8. Pooled it
  9. Pooled it
  10. CATSLife: A Study of Lifespan Behavioral Development and Cognitive Functioning.Twin research and human genetics : the official journal of the International Society for Twin Studies · 2019
    Trial
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Indirect genetic effects of siblings.Journal of child psychology and psychiatry, and allied disciplines · 2026
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

117 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Saskia SelzamSocial, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London SE5 8AF, UK. Electronic address: saskia.selzam@kcl.ac.uk.
Stuart J RitchieSocial, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London SE5 8AF, UK.
Jean-Baptiste PingaultSocial, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London SE5 8AF, UK; Division of Psychology and Language Sciences, University College London, London WC1H 0AP, UK.
Chandra A ReynoldsDepartment of Psychology, University of California Riverside, Riverside, CA 92521, USA.
Paul F O'ReillySocial, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London SE5 8AF, UK; Icahn School of Medicine, Mount Sinai, New York, NY 10029, USA.
Robert PlominSocial, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London SE5 8AF, UK.

Funding

Colorado Adoption/Twin Study of Lifespan behavioral development & cognitive aging (CATSLife2)R01AG046938 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO · PI REYNOLDS, CHANDRA A, WADSWORTH, SALLY J · 2015 to 2024
$18.5M
European Research Council 295366Medical Research Council G0901245Medical Research Council G19/2Medical Research Council MR/M021475/1Medical Research Council MR/N015746/1NIA NIH HHS R01 AG046938
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Polygenic scores are a popular tool for prediction of complex traits. However, prediction estimates in samples of unrelated participants can include effects of population stratification, assortative mating, and environmentally mediated parental genetic effects, a form of genotype-environment correlation (rGE). Comparing genome-wide polygenic score (GPS) predictions in unrelated individuals with predictions between siblings in a within-family design is a powerful approach to identify these different sources of prediction. Here, we compared within- to between-family GPS predictions of eight outcomes (anthropometric, cognitive, personality, and health) for eight corresponding GPSs. The outcomes were assessed in up to 2,366 dizygotic (DZ) twin pairs from the Twins Early Development Study from age 12 to age 21. To account for family clustering, we used mixed-effects modeling, simultaneously estimating within- and between-family effects for target- and cross-trait GPS prediction of the outcomes. There were three main findings: (1) DZ twin GPS differences predicted DZ differences in height, BMI, intelligence, educational achievement, and ADHD symptoms; (2) target and cross-trait analyses indicated that GPS prediction estimates for cognitive traits (intelligence and educational achievement) were on average 60% greater between families than within families, but this was not the case for non-cognitive traits; and (3) much of this within- and between-family difference for cognitive traits disappeared after controlling for family socio-economic status (SES), suggesting that SES is a major source of between-family prediction through rGE mechanisms. These results provide insights into the patterns by which rGE contributes to GPS prediction, while ruling out confounding due to population stratification and assortative mating.

Indexed as

Multifactorial InheritancePolymorphism, Single NucleotideAdolescentAdultChildCognitionCognition DisordersDiseases in TwinsEducational StatusFamilyFemaleGenesGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseGenome-Wide Association StudyGenotypeHumanscomplex trait predictiongene-environment correlationgene-environment interplaygenetic nurturepolygenic score predictionsocio-economic statuswithin-family analysis

Identifiers

PMID31303263
PMCPMC6698881

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.