Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31301142›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2019

Eliminating Hepatitis C Virus Among Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Infected Men Who Have Sex With Men in Berlin: A Modeling Analysis.

Natasha K Martin, Klaus Jansen, Matthias An der Heiden, Christoph Boesecke, Anders Boyd, Knud Schewe, Axel Baumgarten, Thomas Lutz, Stefan Christensen, Alexander Thielen and 4 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

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  14. Acute hepatitis C infection among adults with HIV in the Netherlands between 2003 and 2016: a capture-recapture analysis for the 2013 to 2016 period.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2020
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Natasha K MartinDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego.
Klaus JansenRobert-Koch Institut, Berlin, Germany.
Matthias An der HeidenRobert-Koch Institut, Berlin, Germany.
Christoph BoeseckeDepartment of Medicine, University of Bonn, Germany.
Anders BoydINSERM, Paris, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique, France.
Knud ScheweInfektionsmedizinisches Centrum Hamburg, Germany.
Axel BaumgartenCenter for Infectiology, Berlin, Germany.
Thomas LutzInfektiologikum, Frankfurt, Germany.
Stefan ChristensenCentrum für Innere Medizin, Muenster, Germany.
Alexander ThielenInsitute for Immunology and Genetics, Kaiserslautern, Germany.
Stefan MaussCenter for HIV and Hepatogastroenterology, Duesseldorf, Germany.
Jürgen K RockstrohDepartment of Medicine, University of Bonn, Germany.
Britt SkaathunDivision of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego.
Patrick IngilizCenter for Infectiology, Berlin, Germany.

Funding

VirologyP30AI036214 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI David Mitchell Smith · 1994 to 2026
$78.4M
Modeling Structural HIV Determinants in Substance Users and related populationsR01DA037773 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI MARTIN, NATASHA, STRATHDEE, STEFFANIE A. · 2015 to 2017
$1.4M
NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI036214NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA037773
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDespite high hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment rates, HCV incidence among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected men who have sex with men (HIV-infected MSM) in Germany rose before HCV direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). We model what intervention can achieve the World Health Organization (WHO) elimination target of an 80% reduction in HCV incidence by 2030 among HIV-infected MSM in Berlin.

methodsAn HCV transmission model among HIV-diagnosed MSM was calibrated to Berlin (rising HCV incidence and high rates of HCV testing and treatment). We modeled the HCV incidence among HIV-diagnosed MSM in Berlin until 2030 (relative to 2015 WHO baseline) under scenarios of DAA scale-up with or without behavior change (among HIV-diagnosed MSM and/or all MSM).

resultsContinuing current treatment rates will marginally reduce the HCV incidence among HIV-diagnosed MSM in Berlin by 2030. Scaling up DAA treatment rates, beginning in 2018, to 100% of newly diagnosed HCV infections within 3 months of diagnosis and 25% each year of previously diagnosed and untreated HCV infections could reduce the HCV incidence by 61% (95% confidence interval, 55.4%-66.7%) by 2030. The WHO target would likely be achieved by combining DAA scale-up with a 40% reduction in HCV transmission among HIV-diagnosed MSM and a 20% reduction among HIV-undiagnosed or HIV-uninfected MSM. DISCUSSION: HCV elimination among HIV-infected MSM in Berlin likely requires combining DAA scale-up with moderately effective behavioral interventions to reduce risk among all MSM.

Indexed as

Homosexuality, MaleAdultAntiviral AgentsBehavior TherapyBerlinDisease Transmission, InfectiousHepatitis C, ChronicHIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceMaleModels, StatisticalTreatment OutcomeYoung AdultAntiviral AgentseliminationHCVhepatitis C virusmodelingprevention

Identifiers

PMID31301142
PMCPMC7360352

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.