Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31299043›Full record

ArticlePLoS biology2019

Successful validation of a larval dispersal model using genetic parentage data.

Michael Bode, Jeffrey M Leis, Luciano B Mason, David H Williamson, Hugo B Harrison, Severine Choukroun, Geoffrey P Jones

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS biology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Methods to estimate marine functional connectivity: A primer.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Dispersal can spread management benefits: Insights from a modeled Fijian coral reef network.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2025
    Article
  7. Integrating molecular methods and biophysical modeling to assess functional connectivity between marine protected areas.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2025
    Article
  8. Seamount larval dispersal networks: A potential strategy for conserving ecological connectivity from deep-sea mining.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2025
    Article
  9. Going with the flow: Leveraging reef-scale hydrodynamics for upscaling larval-based restoration.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Michael BodeSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-5886-4421
Jeffrey M LeisAustralian Museum Research Institute, Sydney, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-0603-3447
Luciano B MasonSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia.
David H WilliamsonARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-8447-039X
Hugo B HarrisonARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-8831-0086
Severine ChoukrounARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland, Australia.
Geoffrey P JonesARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-6244-1245

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Larval dispersal is a critically important yet enigmatic process in marine ecology, evolution, and conservation. Determining the distance and direction that tiny larvae travel in the open ocean continues to be a challenge. Our current understanding of larval dispersal patterns at management-relevant scales is principally and separately informed by genetic parentage data and biological-oceanographic (biophysical) models. Parentage datasets provide clear evidence of individual larval dispersal events, but their findings are spatially and temporally limited. Biophysical models offer a more complete picture of dispersal patterns at regional scales but are of uncertain accuracy. Here, we develop statistical techniques that integrate these two important sources of information on larval dispersal. We then apply these methods to an extensive genetic parentage dataset to successfully validate a high-resolution biophysical model for the economically important reef fish species Plectropomus maculatus in the southern Great Barrier Reef. Our results demonstrate that biophysical models can provide accurate descriptions of larval dispersal at spatial and temporal scales that are relevant to management. They also show that genetic parentage datasets provide enough statistical power to exclude poor biophysical models. Biophysical models that included species-specific larval behaviour provided markedly better fits to the parentage data than assuming passive behaviour, but incorrect behavioural assumptions led to worse predictions than ignoring behaviour altogether. Our approach capitalises on the complementary strengths of genetic parentage datasets and high-resolution biophysical models to produce an accurate picture of larval dispersal patterns at regional scales. The results provide essential empirical support for the use of accurately parameterised biophysical larval dispersal models in marine spatial planning and management.

Indexed as

Coral ReefsEcosystemModels, BiologicalAnimal DistributionAnimalsConservation of Natural ResourcesFishesGeographyLarvaMarine BiologyOceans and SeasPerciformesPopulation DynamicsReproducibility of Results

Identifiers

PMID31299043
PMCPMC6655847

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.