Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31298274›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of epidemiology2021

Reflection on modern methods: when worlds collide-prediction, machine learning and causal inference.

Tony Blakely, John Lynch, Koen Simons, Rebecca Bentley, Sherri Rose

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of epidemiology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Mechanisms of Change in Exposure Therapy for Anxiety and Related Disorders: A Research Agenda.Clinical psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Machine Learning Methods to Estimate Individualized Treatment Effects for Use in Health Technology Assessment.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2024
    Review
  12. Machine learning in causal inference for epidemiology.European journal of epidemiology · 2024
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Artificial intelligence for dementia prevention.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2023
    Review
  18. What is circulating factor disease and how is it currently explained?Pediatric nephrology (Berlin, Germany) · 2023
    Review
  19. Article
  20. Evaluating the Impact and Potential Impact of Machine Learning on Medical Decision Making.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Tony BlakelyMelbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
John LynchSchool of Public Health, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.
Koen SimonsMelbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Rebecca BentleyMelbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Sherri RoseDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

Funding

Machine Learning for Health Outcomes and Quality of Care in Low-Income PopulationsDP2MD012722 · NIMHD · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI ROSE, SHERRI · 2017 to 2017
$2.5M
NIMHD NIH HHS DP2 MD012722
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Causal inference requires theory and prior knowledge to structure analyses, and is not usually thought of as an arena for the application of prediction modelling. However, contemporary causal inference methods, premised on counterfactual or potential outcomes approaches, often include processing steps before the final estimation step. The purposes of this paper are: (i) to overview the recent emergence of prediction underpinning steps in contemporary causal inference methods as a useful perspective on contemporary causal inference methods, and (ii) explore the role of machine learning (as one approach to 'best prediction') in causal inference. Causal inference methods covered include propensity scores, inverse probability of treatment weights (IPTWs), G computation and targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE). Machine learning has been used more for propensity scores and TMLE, and there is potential for increased use in G computation and estimation of IPTWs.

Indexed as

Machine LearningCausalityHumansPropensity Scorecausal inferenceMachine learningpotential outcomesprediction

Identifiers

PMID31298274
PMCPMC8453374

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.