Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31296161›Full record

ArticleBMC gastroenterology2019

Cost-comparison analysis of FIB-4, ELF and fibroscan in community pathways for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

Ankur Srivastava, Simcha Jong, Anna Gola, Ruth Gailer, Sarah Morgan, Karen Sennett, Sudeep Tanwar, Elena Pizzo, James O'Beirne, Emmanuel Tsochatzis and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract readEvaluation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC gastroenterology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 64 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
64citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
9.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

64 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 122 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Pooled it
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  5. Care Pathways for Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD): A State-of-The-Art Review.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
    Review
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4 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Ankur SrivastavaUCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Campus, London, NW3 2PF, UK. Ankur.srivastava@nhs.net.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7902-3712
Simcha JongScience Based Business, Leiden University, Snellius Building, Niels Bohrweg 1, 2333 CA, Leiden, Netherlands.
Anna GolaHealth Economist, 6th Floor, Maple House, 149 Tottenham Court Road, London, W1T 7NF, UK.
Ruth GailerDepartment of Primary care and Population Health, Upper 3rd Floor, Royal Free Hospital, London, NW3 2PF, UK.
Sarah MorganCamden Clinical Commissioning Group, 75 Hampstead Rd, London, NW1 2PL, UK.
Karen SennettIslington Clinical Commissioning Group Laycock St, London, N1 1TH, UK.
Sudeep TanwarUCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Campus, London, NW3 2PF, UK.
Elena PizzoDepartment of Applied Health Research, UCL 1-19 Torrington Place, London, WC1E7HB, UK.
James O'BeirneUCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Campus, London, NW3 2PF, UK.
Emmanuel TsochatzisUCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Campus, London, NW3 2PF, UK.
Julie ParkesPublic Health Sciences and Medical Statistics, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
William RosenbergUCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Campus, London, NW3 2PF, UK.
The Royal Free Hospital · GBLeiden University · NLOxfordshire Clinical Commissioning Group · GBUniversity College London · GBUniversity of Southampton · GB

Funding

Marie Curie MCCC-FCO-11-U
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe identification of patients with advanced liver fibrosis secondary to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) remains challenging. Using non-invasive liver fibrosis tests (NILT) in primary care may permit earlier detection of patients with clinically significant disease for specialist review, and reduce unnecessary referral of patients with mild disease. We constructed an analytical model to assess the clinical and cost differentials of such strategies.

methodsA probabilistic decisional model simulated a cohort of 1000 NAFLD patients over 1 year from a healthcare payer perspective. Simulations compared standard care (SC) (scenario 1) to: Scenario 2: FIB-4 for all patients followed by Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) test for patients with indeterminate FIB-4 results; Scenario 3: FIB-4 followed by fibroscan for indeterminate FIB-4; Scenario 4: ELF alone; and Scenario 5: fibroscan alone. Model estimates were derived from the published literature. The primary outcome was cost per case of advanced fibrosis detected.

resultsIntroduction of NILT increased detection of advanced fibrosis over 1 year by 114, 118, 129 and 137% compared to SC in scenarios 2, 3, 4 and 5 respectively with reduction in unnecessary referrals by 85, 78, 71 and 42% respectively. The cost per case of advanced fibrosis (METAVIR ≥F3) detected was £25,543, £8932, £9083, £9487 and £10,351 in scenarios 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 respectively. Total budget spend was reduced by 25.2, 22.7, 15.1 and 4.0% in Scenarios 2, 3, 4 and 5 compared to £670 K at baseline.

conclusionOur analyses suggest that the use of NILT in primary care can increases early detection of advanced liver fibrosis and reduce unnecessary referral of patients with mild disease and is cost efficient. Adopting a two-tier approach improves resource utilization.

Indexed as

Computer SimulationCosts and Cost AnalysisCritical PathwaysDecision Support TechniquesElasticity Imaging TechniquesExtracellular Matrix ProteinsHumansLiver CirrhosisLiver Function TestsNon-alcoholic Fatty Liver DiseaseEFEMP2 protein, humanExtracellular Matrix ProteinsCirrhosis detectionCost savingsEnhanced Liver fibrosis (ELF)Fibroscan|NAFLD

Identifiers

PMID31296161
PMCPMC6624894
OpenAlexW2962648254

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.