Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31289812›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of epidemiology2020

PM2.5 air pollution and cause-specific cardiovascular disease mortality.

Richard B Hayes, Chris Lim, Yilong Zhang, Kevin Cromar, Yongzhao Shao, Harmony R Reynolds, Debra T Silverman, Rena R Jones, Yikyung Park, Michael Jerrett and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of epidemiology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 210 papers, 10 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
210citing papers in PubMed, 10 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

210 citing papers in PubMed, 10 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  9. Particulate Matter and Premature Mortality: A Bayesian Meta-Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Pooled it
  10. Long-Term PMJournal of the American Heart Association · 2021
    Pooled it
  11. Trial
  12. Review
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  20. Effects of shortZhong nan da xue xue bao. Yi xue ban = Journal of Central South University. Medical sciences · 2026
    Article

150 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Richard B HayesDepartment of Population Health, New York University School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
Chris LimDepartment of Environmental Medicine, New York University School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
Yilong ZhangDepartment of Population Health, New York University School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
Kevin CromarDepartment of Environmental Medicine, New York University School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
Yongzhao ShaoDepartment of Population Health, New York University School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
Harmony R ReynoldsCardiovascular Clinical Research Center, New York University School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
Debra T SilvermanNIH National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Rena R JonesNIH National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Yikyung ParkDepartment of Surgery, Division of Public Health Sciences, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, MO, USA.
Michael JerrettDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Jiyoung AhnDepartment of Population Health, New York University School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
George D ThurstonDepartment of Population Health, New York University School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.

Funding

Vaccine FacilityP30CA016087 · NCI · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI ADRIANA HEGUY · 1985 to 2026
$83.1M
XENOBIOTIC BIOTRANSFORMATION AND DISPOSITIONP30ES007033 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI ALI SHOJAIE · 1995 to 2026
$42.5M
Cancer Risk and Environmental ExposuresZIACP010125 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI PURDUE, MARK · 2009 to 2025
$41.3M
RESEARCH IN ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH SCIENCES (CENTER GRANT)P30ES000260 · NIEHS · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI COSTA, MAX · 1985 to 2020
$26.1M
Long-term Air Pollution Exposure and Mortality in the NIH-AARP Cohort - RevisionR01ES019584 · NIEHS · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI HAYES, RICHARD BERNARD, THURSTON, GEORGE DOUGLAS · 2012 to 2015
$1.8M
Environmental Factors in Cardiovascular DiseaseK24ES013195 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI KAUFMAN, JOEL DANIEL · 2005 to 2014
$1.5M
Dietary Influence on Mortality from Air Pollution Exposure in the NIH-AARP CohortR21ES021194 · NIEHS · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI AHN, JIYOUNG, THURSTON, GEORGE DOUGLAS · 2012 to 2013
$238k
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016087NIEHS NIH HHS K24 ES013195NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES000260NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES007033NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES019584NIEHS NIH HHS R21 ES021194
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAmbient air pollution is a modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular disease, yet uncertainty remains about the size of risks at lower levels of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure which now occur in the USA and elsewhere.

methodsWe investigated the relationship of ambient PM2.5 exposure with cause-specific cardiovascular disease mortality in 565 477 men and women, aged 50 to 71 years, from the National Institutes of Health-AARP Diet and Health Study. During 7.5 x 106 person-years of follow up, 41 286 cardiovascular disease deaths, including 23 328 ischaemic heart disease (IHD) and 5894 stroke deaths, were ascertained using the National Death Index. PM2.5 was estimated using a hybrid land use regression (LUR) geostatistical model. Multivariate Cox regression models were used to estimate relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).

resultsEach increase of 10  μg/m3 PM2.5 (overall range, 2.9-28.0  μg/m3) was associated, in fully adjusted models, with a 16% increase in mortality from ischaemic heart disease [hazard ratio (HR) 1.16; 95% CI 1.09-1.22] and a 14% increase in mortality from stroke (HR 1.14; CI 1.02-1.27). Compared with PM2.5 exposure <8  μg/m3 (referent), risks for CVD were increased in relation to PM2.5 exposures in the range of 8-12  μg/m3 (CVD: HR 1.04; 95% CI 1.00-1.08), in the range 12-20  μg/m3 (CVD: HR 1.08; 95% CI 1.03-1.13) and in the range 20+ μg/m3 (CVD: HR 1.19; 95% CI 1.10-1.28). Results were robust to alternative approaches to PM2.5 exposure assessment and statistical analysis.

conclusionsLong-term exposure to fine particulate air pollution is associated with ischaemic heart disease and stroke mortality, with excess risks occurring in the range of and below the present US long-term standard for ambient exposure to PM2.5 (12  µg/m3), indicating the need for continued improvements in air pollution abatement for CVD prevention.

Indexed as

AgedAir PollutantsAir PollutionCardiovascular DiseasesCohort StudiesEnvironmental ExposureFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedParticulate MatterProportional Hazards ModelsRisk FactorsUnited StatesAir PollutantsParticulate MatterAir pollutioncardiovascular diseasemortality

Identifiers

PMID31289812
PMCPMC7124502

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.