Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31289707›Full record

ArticlePhysical therapy research2019

Developing a clinical prediction rule to identify patients with lumbar disc herniation who demonstrate short-term improvement with mechanical lumbar traction.

Kazuya Hirayama, Eiki Tsushima, Hiroki Arihara, Yoichi Omi

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Physical therapy research, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.2field-weighted citation impact, top 44% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 2 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Kazuya HirayamaDepartment of Rehabilitation, Omi Orthopedic Clinic.
Eiki TsushimaGraduate School of Health Sciences, Hirosaki University.
Hiroki AriharaDepartment of Rehabilitation, Omi Orthopedic Clinic.
Yoichi OmiDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Omi Orthopedic Clinic.
Hirosaki University · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo develop a clinical prediction rule (CPR) that predicts treatment responses to mechanical lumbar traction (MLT) among patients with lumbar disc herniation (LDH).

methodThis study was an uncontrolled prospective cohort study. The subjects included 103 patients diagnosed with LDH for which they underwent conservative therapy. The subjects received MLT for 2 weeks, and the application of any other medication was left at the discretion of the attending physician. The initial evaluation was performed prior to the initiation of treatment. The independent variables from the initial evaluation were imaging diagnosis, Oswestry Disability Index (ODI), Fear-Avoidance Beliefs Questionnaire score, visual analog scale, medical interview, physical examination. The patients whose ODI after 2 weeks of treatment improved by ≥50% of that at the initial evaluation were defined as responders.

resultsOf the 103 subjects, 24 were responders, and the five predictors selected for the CPR were limited lumbar extension range of motion, low-level fear-avoidance beliefs regarding work, no segmental hypomobility in the lumbar spine, short duration of symptoms, and sudden onset of symptoms. For the patients with at least three of the five predictors, the probability of their ODI greatly improving increased from 23.3% to 48.7% compared with the patients without these predictors (positive likelihood ratio, 3.13).

conclusionFive factors were selected for the CPR to predict whether patients with LDH would demonstrate short-term improvement following conservative therapy with MLT.

Indexed as

clinical prediction rulelumbar disc herniationmechanical lumbar traction

Identifiers

PMID31289707
PMCPMC6599759
OpenAlexW2936603068

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.