Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31289267›Full record

ArticleNature communications2019

Mapping the drivers of within-host pathogen evolution using massive data sets.

Duncan S Palmer, Isaac Turner, Sarah Fidler, John Frater, Dominique Goedhals, Philip Goulder, Kuan-Hsiang Gary Huang, Annette Oxenius, Rodney Phillips, Roger Shapiro and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Predicting pathogen evolution and immune evasion in the age of artificial intelligence.Computational and structural biotechnology journal · 2025
    Review
  3. Article
  4. HIV-1 and human genetic variation.Nature reviews. Genetics · 2021
    Review
  5. Review
  6. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 9 institutions in 6 countries.

Duncan S PalmerDepartment of Statistics, University of Oxford, 24-29 St Giles', Oxford, OX1 3LB, UK. duncan.stuart.palmer@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0824-0047
Isaac TurnerDepartment of Statistics, University of Oxford, 24-29 St Giles', Oxford, OX1 3LB, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2378-4886
Sarah FidlerDivision of Medicine, Wright Fleming Institute, Imperial College, London, W2 1PG, UK.
John FraterInstitute for Emerging Infections, The Oxford Martin School, Oxford, OX1 3BD, UK.
Dominique GoedhalsHIV Pathogenesis Programme, Doris Duke Medical Research Institute, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, 4013, South Africa.
Philip GoulderDivision of Infectious Diseases, University of the Free State, and 3 Military Hospital, Bloemfontein, 9300, South Africa.
Kuan-Hsiang Gary HuangNuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Oxford, Peter Medawar Building for Pathogen Research, Oxford, OX1 3SY, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1910-9367
Annette OxeniusInstitute of Microbiology, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, 8093, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2079-2354
Rodney PhillipsInstitute for Emerging Infections, The Oxford Martin School, Oxford, OX1 3BD, UK.
Roger ShapiroBotswana Harvard AIDS Institute Partnership, Gaborone, BO 320, Botswana.
Cloete van VuurenHIV Pathogenesis Programme, Doris Duke Medical Research Institute, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, 4013, South Africa.
Angela R McLeanInstitute for Emerging Infections, The Oxford Martin School, Oxford, OX1 3BD, UK.
Gil McVeanDepartment of Statistics, University of Oxford, 24-29 St Giles', Oxford, OX1 3LB, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5012-4162
Centre for Human Genetics · GBUniversity of KwaZulu-Natal · ZAUniversity of Oxford · GBÉcole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne · CHEinstein Medical Center Philadelphia · USHarvard University · USImperial College London · GBUniversity of the Free State · ZAUNSW Sydney · AU

Funding

Optimizing CD8+ T-cell responses against C clade HIV infection in subSaharan AfriR01AI046995 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD · PI GOULDER, PHILIP J · 2000 to 2014
$6.8M
HAART to Prevent HIV Transmission to Infants In BotswanaU01AI066454 · NIAID · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI SHAPIRO, ROGER L · 2005 to 2010
$5.3M
Maximising Cure Potential in Paediatric HIV InfectionR01AI133673 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD · PI GOULDER, PHILIP J · 2017 to 2021
$1.4M
Medical Research Council MR/L006588/1Medical Research Council MR/P011233/1NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI046995NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI133673NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI066454Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Differences among hosts, resulting from genetic variation in the immune system or heterogeneity in drug treatment, can impact within-host pathogen evolution. Genetic association studies can potentially identify such interactions. However, extensive and correlated genetic population structure in hosts and pathogens presents a substantial risk of confounding analyses. Moreover, the multiple testing burden of interaction scanning can potentially limit power. We present a Bayesian approach for detecting host influences on pathogen evolution that exploits vast existing data sets of pathogen diversity to improve power and control for stratification. The approach models key processes, including recombination and selection, and identifies regions of the pathogen genome affected by host factors. Our simulations and empirical analysis of drug-induced selection on the HIV-1 genome show that the method recovers known associations and has superior precision-recall characteristics compared to other approaches. We build a high-resolution map of HLA-induced selection in the HIV-1 genome, identifying novel epitope-allele combinations.

Indexed as

Evolution, MolecularModels, GeneticAnti-HIV AgentsBayes TheoremDatasets as TopicEpitopesGenome, ViralHIV-1HIV InfectionsHLA AntigensHost-Pathogen InteractionsHumansRecombination, GeneticSelection, GeneticAnti-HIV AgentsEpitopesHLA Antigens

Identifiers

PMID31289267
PMCPMC6616926
OpenAlexW2962534476

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.