Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31285703›Full record

ArticleCanada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada2019

Weather-based forecasting of mosquito-borne disease outbreaks in Canada.

N H Ogden, L R Lindsay, A Ludwig, A P Morse, H Zheng, H Zhu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Community science for mosquito surveillance in Canada: a toolkit for program design and implementation.Canadian journal of public health = Revue canadienne de sante publique · 2026
    Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Use of meteorological data in biosecurity.Emerging topics in life sciences · 2020
    Review
  11. Bird Species Involved in West Nile Virus Epidemiological Cycle in Southern Québec.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Review
  12. The health effects of climate change: Know the risks and become part of the solutions.Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada · 2019
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

N H OgdenNational Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, St. Hyacinthe, QC.
L R LindsayNational Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, Winnipeg, MB.
A LudwigNational Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, St. Hyacinthe, QC.
A P MorseSchool of Environmental Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
H ZhengCentre for Food-borne, Environmental & Zoonotic Infectious Diseases, Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, ON.
H ZhuDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics and Laboratory of Mathematical Parallel Systems, York University, Toronto, ON.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Early warning systems to predict infectious disease outbreaks have been identified as a key adaptive response to climate change. Warming, climate variability and extreme weather events associated with climate change are expected to drive an increase in frequency and intensity of mosquito-borne disease (MBD) outbreaks globally. In Canada, this will mean an increased risk of endemic and emerging MBD outbreaks such as West Nile virus and other MBDs. The availability of timely information on the risk of impending MBD outbreaks has important public health implications, by allowing implementation of mosquito control measures and targeted communications regarding the need for increased personal protective measures-before an outbreak occurs. In Canada, both mechanistic and statistical weather-based models have been developed to predict West Nile virus outbreaks. These include models for different species of mosquitoes that transmit West Nile virus in different geographical areas of Canada. Although initial results have been promising, further validation and assessment of forecasting skill are needed before wide scale implementation. Weather-based forecasting for other emerging MBDs in Canada, such as Eastern equine encephalitis, may also be feasible.

Indexed as

Canadaclimate changeEastern equine encephalitis: mosquito-borne diseasesweather-based forecastingWest Nile virus

Identifiers

PMID31285703
PMCPMC6587691

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.