Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31280593›Full record

ArticleAIDS research and human retroviruses2019

HIV-1 Transmission Patterns in Men Who Have Sex with Men: Insights from Genetic Source Attribution Analysis.

Stéphane Le Vu, Oliver Ratmann, Valerie Delpech, Alison E Brown, O Noel Gill, Anna Tostevin, David Dunn, Christophe Fraser, Erik M Volz

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in AIDS research and human retroviruses, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 32% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

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  7. Dynamics and Dispersal of Local Human Immunodeficiency Virus Epidemics Within San Diego and Across the San Diego-Tijuana Border.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2021
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Stéphane Le VuDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit on Modeling Methodology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Oliver RatmannDepartment of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Valerie DelpechHIV and STI Department of Public Health England's Center for Infectious Disease Surveillance and Control, London, United Kingdom.
Alison E BrownHIV and STI Department of Public Health England's Center for Infectious Disease Surveillance and Control, London, United Kingdom.
O Noel GillHIV and STI Department of Public Health England's Center for Infectious Disease Surveillance and Control, London, United Kingdom.
Anna TostevinInstitute for Global Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
David DunnInstitute for Global Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Christophe FraserNuffield Department of Medicine, Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Center for Health Information and Discovery, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Erik M VolzDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit on Modeling Methodology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Public Health England · GBNational Institute for Health Research · GBUniversity College London · GBGeorge Institute for Global Health · GBImperial College London · GB

Funding

Reconstructing HIV Epidemics from HIV PhylogeneticsR01AI087520 · NIAID · TRIAD NATIONAL SECURITY, LLC · PI Thomas K. Leitner · 2010 to 2026
$11.2M
Medical Research Council MR/R015600/1NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI087520
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Near 60% of new HIV infections in the United Kingdom are estimated to occur in men who have sex with men (MSM). Age-disassortative partnerships in MSM have been suggested to spread the HIV epidemics in many Western developed countries and to contribute to ethnic disparities in infection rates. Understanding these mixing patterns in transmission can help to determine which groups are at a greater risk and guide public health interventions. We analyzed combined epidemiological data and viral sequences from MSM diagnosed with HIV at the national level. We applied a phylodynamic source attribution model to infer patterns of transmission between groups of patients. From pair probabilities of transmission between 14,603 MSM patients, we found that potential transmitters of HIV subtype B were on average 8 months older than recipients. We also found a moderate overall assortativity of transmission by ethnic group and a stronger assortativity by region. Our findings suggest that there is only a modest net flow of transmissions from older to young MSM in subtype B epidemics and that young MSM, both for Black or White groups, are more likely to be infected by one another than expected in a sexual network with random mixing.

Indexed as

PhylogenySexual and Gender MinoritiesAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsEthnicityGenetic TestingGenotypeHIV-1HIV InfectionsHIV SeropositivityHomosexuality, MaleHumansMaleage-mixingHIV epidemiologyphylodynamicsphylogenetic

Identifiers

PMID31280593
PMCPMC6735327
OpenAlexW2954910273

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.