Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31273750›Full record

ArticleBiometrics2020

An adaptive trial design to optimize dose-schedule regimes with delayed outcomes.

Ruitao Lin, Peter F Thall, Ying Yuan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biometrics, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Concurrent dose-finding of a novel cancer drug with and without a second agent.Journal of clinical and translational science · 2023
    Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Adaptive Enrichment Designs in Clinical Trials.Annual review of statistics and its application · 2021
    Article
  8. Prior Elicitation for Use in Clinical Trial Design and Analysis: A Literature Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Ruitao LinDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas.ORCID 0000-0003-2244-131X
Peter F ThallDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas.
Ying YuanDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas.ORCID 0000-0003-3163-480X

Funding

Tumor Evolution and Metastasis ProgramP30CA016672 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI Scott Kopetz · 1985 to 2026
$290.8M
Targeting the PI3K Signaling Pathway in Endometrial CarcinomaP50CA098258 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI BODURKA, DIANE · 2003 to 2020
$32.0M
Targeting Tumor Microenvironment-Induced Therapy Resistance in Prostate Cancer Bone MetastasisP50CA140388 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI LOGOTHETIS, CHRISTOPHER J., THOMPSON, TIMOTHY CHARLES · 2009 to 2022
$23.4M
U.T. M. D. Anderson Cancer Center SPORE in Ovarian CancerP50CA217685 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI SOOD, ANIL K · 2017 to 2021
$7.9M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016672NCI NIH HHS P50 CA098258NCI NIH HHS P50 CA140388NCI NIH HHS P50 CA217685
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This paper proposes a two-stage phase I-II clinical trial design to optimize dose-schedule regimes of an experimental agent within ordered disease subgroups in terms of the toxicity-efficacy trade-off. The design is motivated by settings where prior biological information indicates it is certain that efficacy will improve with ordinal subgroup level. We formulate a flexible Bayesian hierarchical model to account for associations among subgroups and regimes, and to characterize ordered subgroup effects. Sequentially adaptive decision-making is complicated by the problem, arising from the motivating application, that efficacy is scored on day 90 and toxicity is evaluated within 30 days from the start of therapy, while the patient accrual rate is fast relative to these outcome evaluation intervals. To deal with this in a practical manner, we take a likelihood-based approach that treats unobserved toxicity and efficacy outcomes as missing values, and use elicited utilities that quantify the efficacy-toxicity trade-off as a decision criterion. Adaptive randomization is used to assign patients to regimes while accounting for subgroups, with randomization probabilities depending on the posterior predictive distributions of utilities. A simulation study is presented to evaluate the design's performance under a variety of scenarios, and to assess its sensitivity to the amount of missing data, the prior, and model misspecification.

Indexed as

Adaptive Clinical Trials as TopicBayes TheoremBiometryClinical Trials, Phase I as TopicClinical Trials, Phase II as TopicComputer SimulationDecision Making, Computer-AssistedDose-Response Relationship, DrugDrug Administration ScheduleHumansModels, StatisticalOutcome Assessment, Health CareSample Sizeadaptive randomizationBayesian designmissing dataoptimal treatment regimeordered subgroupsphase I-II clinical trial

Identifiers

PMID31273750
PMCPMC6942642

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.