ArticleHealth affairs (Project Hope)2019
Epidemiological And Health Systems Implications Of Evolving HIV And Hypertension In South Africa And Kenya.
Article in Health affairs (Project Hope), 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.
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Who cites it
17 citing papers in PubMed.
- Technical and scale efficiency in health service production in Kenya: subnational analysis of 47 county governments.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2026Article
- Agent based modelling of blood borne viruses: a scoping review.BMC infectious diseases · 2024Article
- Leadership, cohesion, and stress in primary care facilities and retention in chronic care in rural northeast South Africa before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: A longitudinal study.Journal of global health · 2024Article
- A mixed methods approach identifying facilitators and barriers to guide adaptations to InterCARE strategies: an integrated HIV and hypertension care model in Botswana.Implementation science communications · 2024Article
- Gaussian process emulation to improve efficiency of computationally intensive multidisease models: a practical tutorial with adaptable R code.BMC medical research methodology · 2024Article
- Health systems performance for hypertension control using a cascade of care approach in South Africa, 2011-2017.PLOS global public health · 2023Article
- Epidemiology of chronic multimorbidity and temporary migration in a rural South African community in health transition: A cross-sectional population-based analysis.Frontiers in epidemiology · 2023Article
- Integrating community-based HIV and non-communicable disease care with microfinance groups: a feasibility study in Western Kenya.Pilot and feasibility studies · 2022Article
- Improved hypertension control at six months using an adapted WHO HEARTS-based implementation strategy at a large urban HIV clinic in Uganda.BMC health services research · 2022Article
- Cascades of diabetes and hypertension care in Samoa: Identifying gaps in the diagnosis, treatment, and control continuum - a cross-sectional study.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2022Article
- Hypertension care cascade at a large urban HIV clinic in Uganda: a mixed methods study using the Capability, Opportunity, Motivation for Behavior change (COM-B) model.Implementation science communications · 2021Article
- Association between service scope of primary care facilities and patient outcomes: a retrospective study in rural Guizhou, China.BMC health services research · 2021Article
- What Could Explain the Lower COVID-19 Burden in Africa despite Considerable Circulation of the SARS-CoV-2 Virus?International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Review
- HIV and cardiovascular disease in sub-Saharan Africa: Demographic and Health Survey data for 4 countries.BMC public health · 2021Article
- Solving the problem of access to cardiovascular medicines: revolving fund pharmacy models in rural western Kenya.BMJ global health · 2020Article
- Layering and scaling up chronic non-communicable disease care on existing HIV care systems and acute care settings in Kenya: a cost and budget impact analysis.Journal of the International AIDS Society · 2020Article
- Exploring barriers and facilitators to integrated hypertension-HIV management in Ugandan HIV clinics using the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR).Implementation science communications · 2020Article
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Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Health systems in sub-Saharan Africa are facing an ongoing HIV epidemic and increasing burden of noncommunicable disease. With the focus shifting to the development of comprehensive primary health care and chronic disease treatment, multidisease modeling is integral to estimating future health care needs. We extended an established agent-based model of HIV transmission to include hypertension in two rural settings: KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, and western Kenya. We estimated that from 2018 to 2028 hypertension prevalence would increase from 40 percent to 46 percent in KwaZulu-Natal and from 29 percent to 35 percent in western Kenya, while HIV prevalence is stabilizing and predicted to decrease. As the health system burden in sub-Saharan Africa is changing, innovative chronic disease treatment and the broadening of successful programs, such as integrated HIV and noncommunicable disease care, are necessary to reach universal health care coverage.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.