Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31253718›Full record

ArticleTobacco control2020

Evidence that an intervention weakens the relationship between adolescent electronic cigarette use and tobacco smoking: a 24-month prospective study.

Mark Conner, Sarah Grogan, Ruth Simms-Ellis, Keira Flett, Bianca Sykes-Muskett, Lisa Cowap, Rebecca Lawton, Christopher Armitage, David Meads, Laetitia Schmitt and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tobacco control, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Trial
  5. Trial
  6. Article
  7. Daily hassle effects on daily cigarette and/or e-cigarette use: the moderating effect of daily uplifts.Annals of behavioral medicine : a publication of the Society of Behavioral Medicine · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Mark ConnerSchool of Psychology, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK m.t.conner@leeds.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-6229-8143
Sarah GroganDepartment of Psychology, Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, UK.
Ruth Simms-EllisSchool of Psychology, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Keira FlettFaculty of Health Sciences, Staffordshire University, Staffordshire, UK.
Bianca Sykes-MuskettSchool of Psychology, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Lisa CowapFaculty of Health Sciences, Staffordshire University, Staffordshire, UK.
Rebecca LawtonSchool of Psychology, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Christopher ArmitagePsychology, University of Manchester, Manchester, Greater Manchester, UK.
David MeadsInstitute of Health Sciences, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Laetitia SchmittAcademic Centre for Health Economics, University of York, York, UK.
Carole TorgersonEducation, Durham University, Durham, Durham, UK.
Robert WestInstitute of Health Sciences, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Kamran SiddiqiInstitute of Health Sciences, University of York, York, North Yorkshire, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1529-7778

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/J000264/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe electronic cigarette (e-cigarette) use to subsequent smoking relationship in adolescents has received much attention. Whether an intervention to reduce smoking initiation attenuated this relationship was assessed.

methodData were from 3994 adolescent never smokers (aged 13-14 years at baseline) as part of a cluster randomised controlled trial. Self-report measures of smoking, e-cigarette use and covariates were assessed and used to predict ever smoked cigarettes, any recent tobacco smoking and regularly smoked cigarettes at 24-month follow-up.

resultsBaseline ever use of e-cigarettes was associated with ever smoked cigarettes (OR=4.03, 95% CI 3.33 to 4.88; controlling for covariates, OR=2.78, 95% CI 2.20 to 3.51), any recent tobacco smoking (OR=3.38, 95% CI 2.72 to 4.21; controlling for covariates, OR=2.17, 95% CI 1.76 to 2.69) and regularly smoked cigarettes (OR=3.60, 95% CI 2.35 to 5.51; controlling for covariates, OR=1.27, 95% CI 1.17 to 1.39) at follow-up. For ever smoked cigarettes only, the impact of e-cigarette use was attenuated in the intervention (OR=1.83) compared with control (OR=4.53) condition. For ever smoked cigarettes and any recent tobacco smoking, the impact of e-cigarette use was attenuated among those with friends who smoked (OR=2.05 (ever smoked); 1·53 (any tobacco use)) compared with those without friends who smoked (OR=3.32 (ever smoked); 2·17 (any tobacco use)).

conclusionsThis is one of the first studies to show that e-cigarette use was robustly associated with measures of smoking over 24 months and the first to show an intervention to attenuate the relationship. Further research with a broader age range of adolescents is required.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdolescent BehaviorChildElectronic Nicotine Delivery SystemsFemaleForecastingHumansMaleProspective StudiesSmoking CessationTobacco SmokingUnited KingdomVapinge-cigaretteselectronic nicotine delivery systemsharm reductioninterventionsmoking

Identifiers

PMID31253718
PMCPMC7361031

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.