Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31248371›Full record

ArticleBMC gastroenterology2019

Interactive decision support for esophageal adenocarcinoma screening and surveillance.

Thomas L Vaughan, Lynn Onstad, James Y Dai

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC gastroenterology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Best Practices in Surveillance for Barrett's Esophagus.Gastrointestinal endoscopy clinics of North America · 2021
    Review
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Thomas L VaughanDivision of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA, 98109, USA. tvaughan@uw.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1537-0242
Lynn OnstadDivision of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA, 98109, USA.
James Y DaiDivision of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA, 98109, USA.

Funding

Controlling Esophageal Cancer: A Collaborative Modeling ApproachU01CA199336 · NCI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI HUR, CHIN, INADOMI, JOHN MATTHEW · 2015 to 2019
$5.9M
ESTABLISHED INVESTIGATOR AWARD IN CANCER PREVENTION AND CONTROLK05CA124911 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI VAUGHAN, THOMAS L · 2007 to 2016
$1.6M
NCI NIH HHS K05 CA124911NCI NIH HHS K05CA124911NCI NIH HHS U01 CA199336NCI NIH HHS U01CA199336
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundA key barrier to controlling esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) is identifying those most likely to benefit from screening and surveillance. We aimed to develop an online educational tool, termed IC-RISC™, for providers and patients to estimate more precisely their absolute risk of developing EAC, interpret this estimate in the context of risk of dying from other causes, and aid in decision-making.

resultsU.S. incidence and mortality data and published relative risk estimates from observational studies and clinical trials were used to calculate absolute risk of EAC over 10 years adjusting for competing risks. These input parameters varied depending on presence of the key precursor, Barrett's esophagus. The open source application works across common devices to gather risk factor data and graphically illustrate estimated risk on a single page. Changes to input data are immediately reflected in the colored graphs. We used the calculator to compare the risk distribution between EAC cases and controls from six population-based studies to gain insight into the discrimination metrics of current practice guidelines for screening, observing that current guidelines sacrifice a significant amount of specificity to identify 78-86% of eventual cases in the US population.

conclusionsThis educational tool provides a simple and rapid means to graphically communicate risk of EAC in the context of other health risks, facilitates "what-if" scenarios regarding potential preventative actions, and can inform discussions regarding screening, surveillance and treatment options. Its generic architecture lends itself to being easily extended to other cancers with distinct pathways and/or intermediate stages, such as hepatocellular cancer. IC-RISC™ extends current qualitative clinical practice guidelines into a quantitative assessment, which brings the possibility of preventative actions being offered to persons not currently targeted for screening and, conversely, reducing unnecessary procedures in those at low risk. Prospective validation and application to existing well-characterized cohort studies are needed.

Indexed as

Early Detection of CancerPopulation SurveillanceSoftwareAdenocarcinomaAgedCase-Control StudiesDecision Making, SharedEsophageal NeoplasmsFemaleHumansInternetMaleMiddle AgedPatient Education as TopicRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsAbsolute riskBarrett’s esophagusEsophageal adenocarcinomaEsophageal cancerRisk calculatorRisk predictionR languageShiny applicationWeb application

Identifiers

PMID31248371
PMCPMC6598240

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.