ArticleFrontiers in psychology2019
Coach Turnover in Top Professional Brazilian Football Championship: A Multilevel Survival Analysis.
Article in Frontiers in psychology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.
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10 citing papers in PubMed.
- The Impact of Managerial Changes on Physical Performance in Elite Soccer Players.Sports (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Leading through performance crises: soccer coaches' insights on their strategies-a qualitative study.Frontiers in psychology · 2025Article
- Effects of changing the head coach on soccer team's performance: A systematic review.Biology of sport · 2024Article
- Comparing locomotor intensity indicators in soccer training and competition across contextual factors: a study of replaced coaches in a Portuguese professional 1st league team.Frontiers in sports and active living · 2024Article
- Supporting The Mental Health Of Elite-Level Coaches Through Early Intervention.Arthroscopy, sports medicine, and rehabilitation · 2023Article
- Physical predictors for retention and dismissal of professional soccer head coaches: an analysis of locomotor variables using logistic regression pipeline.Frontiers in sports and active living · 2023Article
- Changes in head staff members in male elite-level football teams are associated with increased hamstring injury burden for that season: the UEFA Elite Club Injury Study.BMJ open sport & exercise medicine · 2023Article
- The effect of mid-season coach turnover on running match performance and match outcome in professional soccer players.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Impact of elite soccer coaching change on team performance according to coach- and club-related variables.Biology of sport · 2021Article
- Contextual Variables Affect Running Performance in Professional Soccer Players: A Brief Report.Frontiers in sports and active living · 2021Article
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7 authors.
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Abstract
In this study, we examined the probability of coaches' survival in the top Brazilian professional football championship considering variation across the competitive seasons between 2012 and 2017, considering a multilevel framework. We also considered whether previous coaching experience in the top Brazilian professional football championship would change the probability of coaches' survival across the season. The data considered 4,560 games from the top professional Brazilian football league (Campeonato Brasileiro Série A) between the 2012 and 2017 seasons. At the start of each season, the coach from each team was followed, being recorded at the time the event occurred, i.e., the coach being sacked. A total survival of 120 coaches was considered between the seasons of 2012 and 2017, i.e., 20 coaches at the beginning of each season. Coaches were assigned as novice (no previous experience as head coach in the top Brazilian championship) or experienced (with at least some previous experience as head coach in the top Brazilian championship). Data were available and extracted from the official website of the Brazilian Football Confederation. On average and considering un-pooled observations, the median life of a coach was about 16.5 rounds. Considering variation between 2012 and 2017 seasons, only about 26.3% (95% CI: 18.2-36.1) of the coaches ended a season without being sacked. By mid-season, at round 19, the probability of coaches' survival was 0.42 (95% CI: 0.32-0.53). Variation between season on survival estimates per round was substantial (between-season standard deviation = 0.48, 95% credible intervals: 0.25-0.95; corresponding to an inverse logit = 0.62, 95% CI: 0.56-0.72). There was no substantial variation between novice and experienced coaches' survival probability. The present results expose the vulnerability of the coaching context in Brazilian football, potentially highlighting an excessive emphasis on short-term results to mediate club management decisions.
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