Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31243031›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2019

Smokers' strategies across social grades to minimise the cost of smoking in a period with annual tax increases: evidence from a national survey in England.

Mirte Ag Kuipers, Timea Partos, Ann McNeill, Emma Beard, Anna B Gilmore, Robert West, Jamie Brown

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Impact of Low-Dose Computed Tomography Findings on Cigarette Smoking Cessation Among High-Risk Adults Participating in Lung Cancer Screening.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2025
    Observational
  2. Article
  3. Trends in Daily Cigarette Consumption Among Smokers: A Population Study in England, 2008-2023.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2025
    Article
  4. Observational
  5. Article
  6. Observational
  7. How has Expenditure on Nicotine Products Changed in a Fast-Evolving Marketplace? A Representative Population Survey in England, 2018-2022.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2023
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
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  15. Predictive Power of Dependence Measures for Quitting Smoking. Findings From the 2016 to 2018 ITC Four Country Smoking and Vaping Surveys.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2021
    Article
  16. Directions and Challenges in Smoking Cessation Treatment.Tuberculosis and respiratory diseases · 2020
    Article
  17. Trends in Attempts to Quit Smoking in England Since 2007: A Time Series Analysis of a Range of Population-Level Influences.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2020
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Mirte Ag KuipersDepartment of Public Health, Amsterdam Public Health research institute, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Timea PartosDepartment of Addictions, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
Ann McNeillDepartment of Addictions, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6223-4000
Emma BeardDepartment of Behavioural Science and Health, University College London, London, UK.
Anna B GilmoreTobacco Control Research Group, Department for Health, University of Bath, Bath, UK.
Robert WestDepartment of Behavioural Science and Health, University College London, London, UK.
Jamie BrownDepartment of Behavioural Science and Health, University College London, London, UK.

Funding

Cancer Research UK 15631Cancer Research UK 22962Cancer Research UK C1417/A22962Cancer Research UK C44576/A19501Department of Health
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo assess associations between smokers' strategies to minimise how much their smoking costs and cost of smoking among smokers across three social grades during a period of annual tax increases in England.

designRepeat cross-sectional.

settingEngland, May 2012-December 2016.

participants16 967 adult smokers in 56 monthly surveys with nationally representative samples. MEASURES AND ANALYSIS: Weighted generalised additive models assessed associations between four cost-minimising strategies (factory-made and roll-your-own (RYO) cigarette consumption levels, illicit and cross-border purchases) and cost of smoking (£/week). We adjusted for inflation rate, age, gender and secular and seasonal trends.

resultsCost of smoking did not increase above the rate of inflation. Factory-made cigarette consumption decreased, while proportion of RYO and, to a much lesser extent, illicit and cross-border purchases increased. These trends were only evident in lowest social grade. Cost of smoking was 12.99% lower with consumption of 10 fewer factory-made cigarettes (95% CI -13.18 to -12.80) and 5.86% lower with consumption of 10 fewer RYO cigarettes (95% CI -5.66 to -6.06). Consumption levels accounted for 60% of variance in cost. Cross-border and illicit tobacco purchases were associated with 9.64% (95% CI -12.94 to -6.33) and 9.47% (95% CI -12.74 to -6.20) lower costs, respectively, but due to low prevalence, accounted for only 0.2% of variation. Associations were similar across social grades, although weaker for illicit and cross-border purchases and stronger for consumption in higher social grades compared with lower social grades.

conclusionDuring a period of annual tax increases, the weekly cost of smoking did not increase above inflation. Cost-minimising strategies increased, especially among more disadvantaged smokers. Reducing cigarette consumption and switching to RYO tobacco explained a large part of cost variation, while use of illicit and cross-border purchasing played only a minor role.

Indexed as

TaxesAdolescentAdultAgedCommerceConsumer BehaviorCross-Sectional StudiesEnglandFemaleHumansLinear ModelsMaleMiddle AgedMotivationSmoking CessationSocioeconomic Factorsepidemiologypreventive medicinepublic health

Identifiers

PMID31243031
PMCPMC6597620

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.