Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31235801›Full record

ArticleProstate cancer and prostatic diseases2020

Contemporary national trends in prostate cancer risk profile at diagnosis.

Sean A Fletcher, Nicolas von Landenberg, Alexander P Cole, Philipp Gild, Toni K Choueiri, Stuart R Lipsitz, Quoc-Dien Trinh, Adam S Kibel

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Prostate cancer and prostatic diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.7field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 61 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Available evidence on HIFU for focal treatment of prostate cancer: a systematic review.International braz j urol : official journal of the Brazilian Society of Urology
    Pooled it
  2. Androgen receptor pathway inhibitor intensification in non-metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer: current evidence and clinical implications.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
    Review
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  6. Geographic variability in contemporary utilization of PET imaging for prostate cancer: a medicare claims cohort study.Cancer imaging : the official publication of the International Cancer Imaging Society · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Sean A Fletcher *Division of Urologic Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Nicolas von Landenberg *Center for Surgery and Public Health, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Alexander P ColeDivision of Urologic Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0049-8529
Philipp GildCenter for Surgery and Public Health, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Toni K ChoueiriDepartment of Medical Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA, USA.
Stuart R LipsitzCenter for Surgery and Public Health, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Quoc-Dien TrinhDivision of Urologic Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Adam S KibelDivision of Urologic Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA. AKIBEL@bwh.harvard.edu.
Brigham and Women's Hospital · USDana-Farber Cancer Institute · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOver the past decade prostate cancer (PCa) diagnostic approaches have evolved away from aggressive prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening. While a goal of these changes is to decrease over diagnosis and treatment, little is known about the downstream effects on PCa risk distribution at the time of diagnosis. To better understand these effects, we used a national cohort of men to investigate temporal trends in PCa risk profile at diagnosis.

methodsUsing the National Cancer Database, we identified men diagnosed with biopsy-confirmed clinically localized prostate adenocarcinoma (T1-4N0M0) from 2004 to 2014. We assessed temporal trends in proportional distribution of National Comprehensive Cancer Network risk groups as well as their sub-components (PSA, Gleason score, clinical T stage). We also evaluated trends in these sub-components among men with intermediate- and high-risk disease as well as those with metastatic disease.

resultsIn our cohort of 755,567 men diagnosed between 2004 and 2014, there was a decrease in the proportion of men diagnosed with low-risk PCa (38.32 to 27.23%, p < 0.001) and a consequent increase in the proportion of localized intermediate-risk (40.49 to 46.72%, p < 0.001) and high-risk diagnoses (21.19 to 26.05%, p < 0.001). This was primarily driven by an increased proportion of Gleason 7 and Gleason 8-10 cancer, respectively. The number of men presenting with metastatic disease consistently increased from 3251 (2.88%) in 2004 to 6886 (7.19%) in 2014 (p < 0.001).

conclusionsThe proportion of localized intermediate/high risk and metastatic PCa has substantially increased over the past decade, while the proportion of low-risk disease has decreased. This shift has been primarily driven by increased diagnosis of high-grade disease. National guidelines advising against PSA screening may have contributed to these findings.

Indexed as

AgedBiomarkers, TumorBiopsyHumansMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedNeoplasm GradingNeoplasm MetastasisNeoplasm StagingProstatic NeoplasmsPublic Health SurveillanceRisk AssessmentBiomarkers, Tumor

Identifiers

PMID31235801
OpenAlexW2950208774

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.