ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2019
A Population Dynamic Model to Assess the Diabetes Screening and Reporting Programs and Project the Burden of Undiagnosed Diabetes in Thailand.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed.
- Mathematical Modelling for Community Based Intervention for Managing Diabetes: A Systematic Literature Review.Journal of multidisciplinary healthcare · 2025Review
- Comparison of clinical characteristics and treatment outcomes between initially diagnosed type 1 and type 2 diabetes mellitus patients presenting with diabetic ketoacidosis.BMC endocrine disorders · 2024Article
- Projection of diabetes morbidity and mortality till 2045 in Indonesia based on risk factors and NCD prevention and control programs.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Epidemiology of undiagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus among hill tribe adults in Thailand.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Healthcare Voucher Scheme for Screening of Cardiovascular Risk Factors: A Population-Based Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Diabetes mellitus (DM) is rising worldwide, exacerbated by aging populations. We estimated and predicted the diabetes burden and mortality due to undiagnosed diabetes together with screening program efficacy and reporting completeness in Thailand, in the context of demographic changes. An age and sex structured dynamic model including demographic and diagnostic processes was constructed. The model was validated using a Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach. The prevalence of DM was predicted to increase from 6.5% (95% credible interval: 6.3-6.7%) in 2015 to 10.69% (10.4-11.0%) in 2035, with the largest increase (72%) among 60 years or older. Out of the total DM cases in 2015, the percentage of undiagnosed DM cases was 18.2% (17.4-18.9%), with males higher than females (
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