Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31229394›Full record

Observational studyAnnals of emergency medicine2019

Validation of the Pediatric Appendicitis Risk Calculator (pARC) in a Community Emergency Department Setting.

Dale M Cotton, David R Vinson, Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, E Margaret Warton, Mary E Reed, Uli K Chettipally, Mamata V Kene, James S Lin, Dustin G Mark, Dana R Sax and 7 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract readMulticenter StudyObservational StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Annals of emergency medicine, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 37 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Appendicitis.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2025
    Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Exploring diagnostic stewardship in the emergency department evaluation of pediatric abdominal pain in a statewide quality collaborative.Academic emergency medicine : official journal of the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine · 2025
    Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Diagnostic Performance of Emergency Physician Gestalt for Predicting Acute Appendicitis in Patients Age 5 to 20 Years.Academic emergency medicine : official journal of the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine · 2020
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 8 institutions in 1 country.

Dale M CottonPermanente Medical Group, Oakland, CA; Kaiser Permanente, South Sacramento Medical Center, Sacramento, CA. Electronic address: dale.m.cotton@kp.org.
David R VinsonPermanente Medical Group, Oakland, CA; Kaiser Permanente, Division of Research, Oakland, CA; Kaiser Permanente, Sacramento Medical Center, Sacramento, CA.
Gabriela Vazquez-BenitezHealthPartners Institute, Division of Research, Bloomington, MN.
E Margaret WartonKaiser Permanente, Division of Research, Oakland, CA.
Mary E ReedKaiser Permanente, Division of Research, Oakland, CA.
Uli K ChettipallyPermanente Medical Group, Oakland, CA; Kaiser Permanente, South San Francisco Medical Center, South San Francisco, CA.
Mamata V KenePermanente Medical Group, Oakland, CA; Kaiser Permanente, San Leandro Medical Center, San Leandro, CA.
James S LinPermanente Medical Group, Oakland, CA; Kaiser Permanente, Santa Clara Medical Center, Santa Clara, CA.
Dustin G MarkPermanente Medical Group, Oakland, CA; Kaiser Permanente, Division of Research, Oakland, CA; Kaiser Permanente, Oakland Medical Center, Oakland, CA.
Dana R SaxPermanente Medical Group, Oakland, CA; Kaiser Permanente, Oakland Medical Center, Oakland, CA.
Ian D McLachlanPermanente Medical Group, Oakland, CA; Kaiser Permanente, San Francisco Medical Center, San Francisco, CA.
Adina S RauchwergerKaiser Permanente, Division of Research, Oakland, CA.
Laura E SimonKaiser Permanente, Division of Research, Oakland, CA.
Anupam B KharbandaChildren's Hospitals and Clinics of Minnesota, Department of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Minneapolis, MN.
Elyse O KharbandaHealthPartners Institute, Division of Research, Bloomington, MN.
Dustin W BallardPermanente Medical Group, Oakland, CA; Kaiser Permanente, Division of Research, Oakland, CA; Kaiser Permanente, San Rafael Medical Center, San Rafael, CA.
Clinical Research on Emergency Services and Treatments (CREST) Network
Kaiser Permanente · USColorado Permanente Medical Group · USHealthPartners · USChildren's Minnesota · USKaiser Permanente Oakland Medical Center · USKaiser Permanente San Francisco Medical Center · USKaiser Permanente San Rafael Medical Center · USKaiser Permanente Santa Clara Medical Center · US

Funding

EHR-based Decision Support for Pediatric Acute Abdominal Pain in Emergency CareR01HD079463 · NICHD · HEALTHPARTNERS INSTITUTE · PI KHARBANDA, ANUPAM B, KHARBANDA, ELYSE OLSHEN · 2015 to 2019
$3.1M
NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD079463
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

STUDY

objectiveThe pediatric Appendicitis Risk Calculator (pARC) is a validated clinical tool for assessing a child's probability of appendicitis. Our objective was to assess the performance of the pARC in community emergency departments (EDs) and to compare its performance with that of the Pediatric Appendicitis Score (PAS).

methodsWe conducted a prospective validation study from October 1, 2016, to April 30, 2018, in 11 community EDs serving general populations. Patients aged 5 to 20.9 years and with a chief complaint of abdominal pain and less than or equal to 5 days of right-sided or diffuse abdominal pain were eligible for study enrollment. Our primary outcome was the presence or absence of appendicitis within 7 days of the index visit. We reported performance characteristics and secondary outcomes by pARC risk strata and compared the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves of the PAS and pARC.

resultsWe enrolled 2,089 patients with a mean age of 12.4 years, 46% of whom were male patients. Appendicitis was confirmed in 353 patients (16.9%), of whom 55 (15.6%) had perforated appendixes. Fifty-four percent of patients had very low (<5%) or low (5% to 14%) predicted risk, 43% had intermediate risk (15% to 84%), and 4% had high risk (≥85%). In the very-low- and low-risk groups, 1.4% and 3.0% of patients had appendicitis, respectively. The area under the ROC curve was 0.89 (95% confidence interval 0.87 to 0.92) for the pARC compared with 0.80 (95% confidence interval 0.77 to 0.82) for the PAS.

conclusionThe pARC accurately assessed appendicitis risk for children aged 5 years and older in community EDs and the pARC outperformed the PAS.

Indexed as

Abdominal PainAdolescentAppendicitisChildDecision Support TechniquesDiagnosis, DifferentialEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHumansLeukocyte CountMaleMigraine DisordersNauseaProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentSensitivity and Specificity

Identifiers

PMID31229394
PMCPMC8364751
OpenAlexW2950851465

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.