ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2019
Assessing dengue control in Tokyo, 2014.
Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed.
- Managing and controlling diseases transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes: a review on best practices.Tropical medicine and health · 2026Review
- Role of vector phenotypic plasticity in disease transmission as illustrated by the spread of dengue virus by Aedes albopictus.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Green cities and vector-borne diseases: emerging concerns and opportunities.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2024Article
- Reconstruction and analysis of the transmission network of African swine fever in People's Republic of China, August 2018-September 2019.Epidemiology and infection · 2024Article
- Quantifying the future risk of dengue under climate change in Japan.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Analysis of international traveler mobility patterns in Tokyo to identify geographic foci of dengue fever risk.Theoretical biology & medical modelling · 2021Article
- The Epidemic Risk of Dengue Fever in Japan: Climate Change and Seasonality.The Canadian journal of infectious diseases & medical microbiology = Journal canadien des maladies infectieuses et de la microbiologie medicale · 2021Article
- Measles and Rubella during COVID-19 Pandemic: Future Challenges in Japan.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- Initial Cluster of Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Infections in Wuhan, China Is Consistent with Substantial Human-to-Human Transmission.Journal of clinical medicine · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundIn summer 2014, an autochthonous outbreak of dengue occurred in Tokyo, Japan, in which Yoyogi Park acted as the focal area of transmission. Recognizing the outbreak, concerted efforts were made to control viral spread, which included mosquito control, public announcement of the outbreak, and a total ban on entering the park. We sought to assess the effectiveness of these control measures. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL
findingsWe used a mathematical model to describe the transmission dynamics. Using dates of exposure and illness onset, we categorized cases into three groups according to the availability of these datasets. The infection process was parametrically modeled by generation, and convolution of the infection process and the incubation period was fitted to the data. By estimating the effective reproduction number, we determined that the effect of dengue risk communication together with mosquito control from 28 August 2014 was insufficiently large to lower the reproduction number to below 1. However, once Yoyogi Park was closed on 4 September, the value of the effective reproduction number began to fall below 1, and the associated relative reduction in the effective reproduction number was estimated to be 20%-60%. The mean incubation period was an estimated 5.8 days. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Regardless of the assumed number of generations of cases, the combined effect of mosquito control, risk communication, and park closure appeared to be successful in interrupting the chain of dengue transmission in Tokyo.
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