ArticleBMJ open2019
Effects of global and domestic tobacco control policies on cigarette consumption per capita: an evaluation using monthly data in China.
Article in BMJ open, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 25 citations in OpenAlex.
- A systematic review and network meta-analysis of population-level interventions to tackle smoking behaviour.Nature human behaviour · 2024Pooled it
- COPD in China: the analysis of mortality and burden of disease trends from 2008 to 2021.Respiratory research · 2026Article
- Smoking-attributable gastrointestinal cancer burden in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) and Associated Economies: A Global Burden of Disease study analysis 1990Tobacco prevention & cessation · 2026Article
- Article
- Bacteria dynamics and its correlation with chemical composition changes in tobacco leaves during flue curing.Applied microbiology and biotechnology · 2025Article
- An observational study on the association between smoking and relative poverty in China: Evidence from two waves of China Family Panel Studies.Tobacco induced diseases · 2025Article
- The epidemic of acute lymphoid leukemia in China: current trends and future prediction.Frontiers in oncology · 2023Article
- Gender disparities in incidence and projections of lung cancer in China and the United States from 1978 to 2032: an age-period-cohort analysis.Cancer causes & control : CCC · 2022Article
- Incidence and mortality trends of nasopharynx cancer from 1990 to 2019 in China: an age-period-cohort analysis.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Influence of microbiota and metabolites on the quality of tobacco during fermentation.BMC microbiology · 2020Article
- Smoking Prevalence, Patterns, and Cessation Among Adults in Hebei Province, Central China: Implications From China National Health Survey (CNHS).Frontiers in public health · 2020Article
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
introductionChina consumes 44% of the world's cigarettes. Robust tobacco control measures are needed to contain the trend of increasing cigarette consumption. This paper examines the effectiveness of policy interventions introduced in China on reducing the country's tobacco use.
methodsThe paper uses data on China's monthly cigarette consumption per capita from January 2000 to June 2017 to estimate the impact of specific policies on China's tobacco consumption. Tobacco consumption is calculated from monthly sales data from the China National Tobacco Corporation and demographic data from the China National Bureau of Statistics. The policies studied include the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC), national tobacco-related policy changes and two tobacco tax increases implemented in China during the study period. Segmented regression analysis is used to estimate the immediate effects of the policies studied and changes in the time trends resulted from these policy changes.
findingsThe impact of national policy changes in China is almost 20 times greater than the impact of the WHO FCTC treaty itself, and national policy changes in tobacco control are a determining factor in reversing the trend of increasing tobacco consumption in China. The 2015 tax increase, which raised retail cigarette prices, produced both immediate and trend effects, with a total incremental effect 7.8 times that of the 2009 tax increase, which did not result in higher cigarette prices for the consumer. INTERPRETATIONS: Translating global tobacco control policies into domestic policies will generate a much greater impact on reducing average cigarette consumption, and tobacco taxes that are reflected in the retail prices of cigarettes will be more effective in reducing cigarette consumption.
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