Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31218975›Full record

SynthesisCNS spectrums2020

Risk factors for recidivism in individuals receiving community sentences: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Denis Yukhnenko, Nigel Blackwood, Seena Fazel

Open access · greenAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in CNS spectrums, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
7.0field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 88 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  4. Health Outcomes of Women on Community Supervision in South Central Texas During the Perinatal Period.Journal of obstetric, gynecologic, and neonatal nursing : JOGNN · 2026
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  8. Factors Affecting Recidivism in Children Drawn into Crime.Turk psikiyatri dergisi = Turkish journal of psychiatry · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Denis YukhnenkoDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-4936-2857
Nigel BlackwoodInstitute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
Seena FazelDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-5383-5365
University of Oxford · GBKing's College London · GB

Funding

Wellcome Trust 202836Wellcome Trust 202836/Z/16/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveWe aimed to systematically review risk factors for criminal recidivism in individuals given community sentences.

methodsWe searched seven bibliographic databases and additionally conducted targeted searches for studies that investigated risk factors for any repeat offending in individuals who had received community (non-custodial) sentences. We included investigations that reported data on at least one risk factor and allowed calculations of odds ratios (ORs). If a similar risk factor was reported in three or more primary studies, they were grouped into domains, and pooled ORs were calculated.

resultsWe identified 15 studies from 5 countries, which reported data on 14 independent samples and 246,608 individuals. We found that several dynamic (modifiable) risk factors were associated with criminal recidivism in community-sentenced populations, including mental health needs (OR = 1.4, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.2-1.6), substance misuse (OR = 2.3, 95% CI: 1.1-4.9), association with antisocial peers (OR = 2.2, 95% CI: 1.3-3.7), employment problems (OR = 1.8, 95% CI: 1.3-2.5), marital status (OR = 1.6, 95%: 1.4-1.8), and low income (OR = 2.0, 95% CI: 1.1-3.4). The strength of these associations was comparable to that of static (non-modifiable) risk factors, such as age, gender, and criminal history.

conclusionAssessing dynamic (modifiable) risk factors should be considered in all individuals given community sentences. The further integration of mental health, substance misuse, and criminal justice services may reduce reoffending risk in community-sentenced populations.

Indexed as

DeinstitutionalizationForensic PsychiatryHumansMental DisordersPersons with Psychiatric DisordersRecidivismSocioeconomic Factorscommunity sentencesmeta-analysisprobationrearrestRecidivismreconvictionreoffendingrisk factorssystematic review

Identifiers

PMID31218975
PMCPMC7183820
OpenAlexW2950281301

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.