NT-proBNP and postoperative heart failure in surgery for aortic stenosis.

Objective: Postoperative heart failure (PHF) after aortic valve replacement (AVR) for aortic stenosis (AS) may initially appear mild and transient but has serious long-term consequences. Methods to assess PHF are not well documented. We studied the association between N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and PHF after AVR for AS. Methods: This is a prospective, observational, longitudinal study of 203 patients undergoing elective first-time AVR for AS. Plasma NT-proBNP was assessed at preoperative evaluation, the day before surgery, and the first (POD1) and third postoperative morning. A clinical endpoints committee, blinded to NT-proBNP results, used prespecified haemodynamic criteria to diagnose PHF. The mean follow-up was 8.6±1.1 years. Results: No patient with PHF (n=18) died within 30 days after surgery, but PHF was associated with poor long-term survival (HR 3.01, 95% CI 1.45 to 6.21, p=0.003). NT-proBNP was significantly higher in patients with PHF only on POD1 (6415 (3145-11 220) vs 2445 (1540-3855) ng/L, p<0.0001). NT-proBNP POD1 provided good discrimination of PHF (area under the curve=0.82, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.91, p<0.0001; best cut-off 5290 ng/L: sensitivity 63%, specificity 85%). NT-proBNP POD1 ≥5290 ng/L identified which patients with PHF carried a risk of poor long-term survival, and PHF with NT-proBNP POD1 ≥ 5290 ng/L emerged as a risk factor for long-term mortality in the multivariable Cox regression (HR 6.20, 95% CI 2.72 to 14.1, p<0.0001). Conclusions: The serious long-term consequences associated with PHF after AVR for AS were confirmed. NT-proBNP level on POD1 aids in the assessment of PHF and identifies patients at particular risk of poor long-term survival.