Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31214351›Full record

ArticleHealth systems (Basingstoke, England)2019

Simulation modelling of patient flow and capacity planning for regional long-term care needs: a case study.

Ki-Hwan Bae, Molly Jones, Gerald Evans, Demetra Antimisiaris

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health systems (Basingstoke, England), 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Personnel shortages and the provision of long-term care: an empirical analysis of German nursing homes.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2025
    Article
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  9. Discrete-Event Simulation Modeling in Healthcare: A Comprehensive Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Ki-Hwan BaeIndustrial Engineering, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6811-0826
Molly JonesInspire Medical, Louisville, KY, USA.
Gerald EvansIndustrial Engineering, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1423-9886
Demetra AntimisiarisFamily and Geriatric Medicine, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, USA.
University of Louisville · USInspire Medical Systems (United States) · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The need for Long-Term Care (LTC) arises in the elderly population, especially those reaching age 65 each year. This elderly population will grow tremendously in the United States over the next decade, resulting in short- and long-term challenges of matching resource capacity with uncertain demand for hospitals and other healthcare providers. This paper describes research involving the development of a simulation model of patient flow in order to understand the relationship between capacity and demand, and to investigate the impacts on performance measures such as average wait times for LTC patients. We propose an aggregate capacity model to consider patient flow among various types of care providers by integrating hospitals, nursing homes, assisted living facilities, and home health care. Using the data including patient demographics and service provider information, we forecast patient demand for LTC. The computational results demonstrate the efficacy of a simulation-based optimisation solution approach for capacity planning.

Indexed as

capacity planningdiscrete event simulationLong-term carepatient flow

Identifiers

PMID31214351
PMCPMC6508013
OpenAlexW2942986422

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.