ArticleWorld development2019
Climate Shocks Constrain Human Fertility in Indonesia.
Article in World development, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.
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Who cites it
26 citing papers in PubMed.
- Climate change and sexual and reproductive health: A mixed methods scoping review of possible mechanisms.iScience · 2026Review
- Precipitation variability, fertility, and metabolic stress over 5 millennia in the ancient Andes: A bioarchaeological path analysis.Science advances · 2026Article
- It's Raining Babies? Flood Exposures and Fertility in Bangladesh.Population and development review · 2025Article
- The Impact of Climate Change Awareness on Fertility Intentions in Palestinian Society: Mediating Role of Threat Perception.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025Article
- Fertility Intentions in Rural Malawi After Cyclone Idai.Population and environment · 2025Article
- The impact of climate change on child nutrition in Indonesia: a conceptual framework and scoping review of the available evidence.BMJ paediatrics open · 2025Article
- The role of climate change anxiety in shaping childrearing intentions among people living in British Columbia.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Climate change and sexual and reproductive health and rights research in low-income and middle-income countries: a scoping review.BMJ public health · 2024Article
- Effects of extreme climate events and child mortality on total fertility rate in Bangladesh.Heliyon · 2024Article
- Gender, climate and landowning: Sources of variability in the weather pattern change and ideal fertility relationship in Sahelian West Africa.Vienna yearbook of population research · 2024Article
- Research on influencing factors of college teachers' second child fertility intentions--Taking Jinan as an example.PloS one · 2024Article
- Climate and fertility amid a public health crisis.Population studies · 2023Article
- From the Ground Up: A Multidisciplinary Approach to Past Fertility and Population Narratives.Human nature (Hawthorne, N.Y.) · 2023Article
- Heat and Drought Reduce Subnational Population Growth in the Global Tropics.Population and environment · 2023Article
- Investigating the relationship between growing season quality and childbearing goals.Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions · 2023Article
- Measuring Fertility Intentions During Times of Crisis: An Example Using Survey Data Amid the Covid-19 Pandemic.Studies in family planning · 2023Article
- Investigating Seasonal Agriculture, Contraceptive Use, and Pregnancy in Burkina Faso.The Professional geographer : the journal of the Association of American Geographers · 2023Article
- Reproductive Intentions Affected by Perceptions of Climate Change and Attitudes toward Death.Behavioral sciences (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Climate Anomalies and Birth Rates in Sub-Saharan Africa.Climatic change · 2022Article
- "Burnt by the scorching sun": climate-induced livelihood transformations, reproductive health, and fertility trajectories in drought-affected communities of Zambia.BMC public health · 2021Article
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2 authors.
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Abstract
Climate change is likely to induce a large range of household- and individual-level responses, including changes in human fertility behaviors and outcomes. These responses may have important implications for human and economic development and women's empowerment. Drawing on the literature linking climate conditions to rice cultivation in Indonesia, we use longitudinal household survey and high-resolution climate data to explore changes in childbearing intentions, family planning use, and births following community-level climate shocks from 1993 to 2015. We find that fertility intentions increase and family planning use declines in response to delays in monsoon onset occurring within the previous year, particularly for wealthier populations. However, women on farms are significantly more likely to use family planning and less likely to give birth following abnormally high temperatures during the previous five years. We also measure parallel shifts in household well-being as measured by rice, food, and non-food consumption expenditures. Our findings advance the environmental fertility literature by showing that longer duration environmental shocks can have impacts on fertility behaviors and outcomes. Collectively, our results illustrate human fertility responses to climate change in a country vulnerable to its effects, and demonstrate that in some cases, climate shocks can constrain human fertility.
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