Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31211783›Full record

ArticlePLoS computational biology2019

Hierarchical Bayesian inference for concurrent model fitting and comparison for group studies.

Payam Piray, Amir Dezfouli, Tom Heskes, Michael J Frank, Nathaniel D Daw

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS computational biology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 79 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
79citing papers in PubMed
12.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

79 citing papers in PubMed, 142 citations in OpenAlex.

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  14. Anchored and Propagated Updating Within Pseudoscientific Belief Systems.Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · 2026
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  15. Social information creates self-fulfilling prophecies in judgments of pain, vicarious pain, and cognitive effort.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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19 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Payam PirayPrinceton Neuroscience Institute, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-8100-6628
Amir DezfouliData61, CSIRO, Sydney, Australia.
Tom HeskesInstitute for Computing and Information Sciences, Radboud University, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-3398-5235
Michael J FrankDepartment of Cognitive, Linguistics, and Psychological Sciences, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, United States of America.
Nathaniel D DawPrinceton Neuroscience Institute, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-5029-1430
Princeton University · USBrown University · USCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation · AURadboud University Nijmegen · NL

Funding

CRCNS: Computational and neural mechanisms of memory-guided decisionsR01DA038891 · NIDA · PRINCETON UNIVERSITY · PI DAW, NATHANIEL DOUGLASS, SHOHAMY, DAPHNA · 2014 to 2018
$1.7M
NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA038891
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Computational modeling plays an important role in modern neuroscience research. Much previous research has relied on statistical methods, separately, to address two problems that are actually interdependent. First, given a particular computational model, Bayesian hierarchical techniques have been used to estimate individual variation in parameters over a population of subjects, leveraging their population-level distributions. Second, candidate models are themselves compared, and individual variation in the expressed model estimated, according to the fits of the models to each subject. The interdependence between these two problems arises because the relevant population for estimating parameters of a model depends on which other subjects express the model. Here, we propose a hierarchical Bayesian inference (HBI) framework for concurrent model comparison, parameter estimation and inference at the population level, combining previous approaches. We show that this framework has important advantages for both parameter estimation and model comparison theoretically and experimentally. The parameters estimated by the HBI show smaller errors compared to other methods. Model comparison by HBI is robust against outliers and is not biased towards overly simplistic models. Furthermore, the fully Bayesian approach of our theory enables researchers to make inference on group-level parameters by performing HBI t-test.

Indexed as

Bayes TheoremModels, NeurologicalComputational BiologyComputer SimulationDecision MakingHumansLearning

Identifiers

PMID31211783
PMCPMC6581260
OpenAlexW2950181669

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.