Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31210678›Full record

ArticleBulletin of the World Health Organization2019

Tuberculosis decline in populations affected by HIV: a retrospective study of 12 countries in the WHO African Region.

Christopher Dye, Brian G Williams

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 37 citations in OpenAlex.

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  6. Genomic epidemiology ofMicrobial genomics · 2026
    Article
  7. Temporal trends in tuberculosis and time from enrolment in care to antiretroviral therapy initiation: A multicountry cohort study from Latin America.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Impact of Community-Wide Tuberculosis Active Case Finding and Human Immunodeficiency Virus Testing on Tuberculosis Trends in Malawi.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2023
    Article
  10. Article
  11. The impact of HIV and tuberculosis interventions on South African adult tuberculosis trends, 1990-2019: a mathematical modeling analysis.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2022
    Article
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  15. Immune Phenotype and Functionality ofPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2020
    Article
  16. TheFuture virology · 2020
    Review
  17. Adolescent tuberculosis.The Lancet. Child & adolescent health · 2020
    Review
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  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Christopher DyeDepartment of Zoology and All Souls College, University of Oxford, High Street, Oxford OX1 4AL, England.
Brian G WilliamsSouth African Centre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis (SACEMA), Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa.
Stellenbosch University · ZA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo investigate which of the World Health Organization recommended methods for tuberculosis control have had the greatest effect on case incidence in 12 countries in the World Health Organization (WHO) African Region that carry high burdens of tuberculosis linked to human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection.

methodsWe obtained epidemiological surveillance, survey and treatment data on HIV and tuberculosis for the years 2003 to 2016. We used statistical models to examine the effects of antiretroviral therapy (ART) and isoniazid preventive therapy in reducing the incidence of tuberculosis among people living with HIV. We also investigated the role of tuberculosis case detection and treatment in preventing

findingsBetween 2003 and 2016, ART provision was associated with the decline of tuberculosis in each country, and with differences in tuberculosis decline between countries. Inferring that ART was a cause of tuberculosis decline, ART prevented 1.88 million (95% confidence interval, CI: 1.65 to 2.11) tuberculosis cases in people living with HIV, or 15.7% (95% CI: 13.8 to 17.6) of the 11.96 million HIV-positive tuberculosis cases expected. Population coverage of isoniazid preventive therapy was too low (average 1.0% of persons eligible) to have a major effect on tuberculosis decline, and improvements in tuberculosis detection and treatment were either weakly associated or not significantly associated with tuberculosis decline.

conclusionART provision is associated with tuberculosis decline in these 12 countries. ART should remain central to tuberculosis control where rates of tuberculosis-HIV coinfection are high, but renewed efforts to treat tuberculosis are needed.

Indexed as

AfricaAnti-Retroviral AgentsAntitubercular AgentsHIV InfectionsHumansIsoniazidMycobacterium tuberculosisRetrospective StudiesTuberculosisWorld Health OrganizationAnti-Retroviral AgentsAntitubercular AgentsIsoniazid

Identifiers

PMID31210678
PMCPMC6560374
OpenAlexW2947646422

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.