Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31204304›Full record

SynthesisThe Lancet. Infectious diseases2019

Cervical determinants of anal HPV infection and high-grade anal lesions in women: a collaborative pooled analysis.

Chunqing Lin, Jiri Slama, Paula Gonzalez, Marc T Goodman, Ningshao Xia, Aimée R Kreimer, Ting Wu, Nancy A Hessol, Yurii Shvetsov, Ana P Ortiz and 33 more

Open access · greenAbstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 59 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
59citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
10.4field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

59 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 122 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. German-Austrian guideline on screening for anal dysplasia and anal carcinoma in people living with HIV.Journal der Deutschen Dermatologischen Gesellschaft = Journal of the German Society of Dermatology : JDDG · 2025
    Guideline
  2. Emerging Roles of mFrontiers in oncology · 2022
    Pooled it
  3. Guideline
  4. Pooled it
  5. Trial
  6. Article
  7. [Update on anal dysplasia and anal cancer].Dermatologie (Heidelberg, Germany) · 2026
    Review
  8. Article
  9. Concurrent cervical and extra cervical HPV-related lesions: an observational study.European journal of clinical microbiology & infectious diseases : official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology · 2026
    Article
  10. Review
  11. An overview of clinical trials in anal cancer 1999-2024.ESMO gastrointestinal oncology · 2026
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Observational
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

43 authors at 20 institutions in 19 countries.

Chunqing LinInternational Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France; National Cancer Center, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, and Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Jiri SlamaDepartment of Gynecology and Obstetrics, General University Hospital and First Faculty of Medicine, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic.
Paula GonzalezProyecto Epidemiológico Guanacaste, Fundación INCIENSA, San José, Costa Rica.
Marc T GoodmanSamuel Oschin Comprehensive Cancer Institute, Cedars Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Ningshao XiaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, National Institute of Diagnostics and Vaccine Development in Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, China.
Aimée R KreimerNational Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Ting WuState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, National Institute of Diagnostics and Vaccine Development in Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, China.
Nancy A HessolUniversity of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Yurii ShvetsovUniversity of Hawaii Cancer Center, Honolulu, Hawaii, USA.
Ana P OrtizUniversity of Puerto Rico Comprehensive Cancer Center, Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Graduate School of Public Health, UPR, San Juan, Puerto Rico.
Beatriz GrinsztejnInstituto Nacional de Infectologia Evandro Chagas-Fiocruz, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Anna-Barbara MoscickiDavid Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Isabelle HeardDepartment of Endocrinology and Reproductive Medicine, IE3M, Groupe Hospitalier Pitié-Salpêtrière, Assistance Publique, Hôpitaux de Paris, Paris, France.
María Del Refugio González LosaDr Hideyo Noguchy Center of Regional Investigations, Autonomous University of Yucatán, Mérida, Yucatán, México.
Erna M KojicMount Sinai West and St Luke's Hospitals, New York, NY, USA.
Maarten F Schim van der LoeffDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Infectious Diseases Research & Prevention, GGD Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Feixue WeiState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, National Institute of Diagnostics and Vaccine Development in Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, China.
Adhemar Longatto-FilhoResearch Institute of Life and Health Sciences, School of Medicine, University of Minho, Braga, Portugal; 3B's (Biomaterials, Biodegradables and Biomimetics) Research Group, Portugal Government Associate Laboratory, Braga, Portugal; Laboratory of Medical Investigation 14, Department of Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; Teaching and Research Institute, Molecular Oncology Research Center, Barretos Cancer Hospital-Pio XII Foundation, Barretos, Brazil.
Zizipho A MbulawaInstitute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; Department of Pathology, Division of Medical Virology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; Centre for HIV and STIs, National Institute for Communicable Diseases, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa; South African Medical Research Council Gynaecological Cancer Research Centre, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Joel M PalefskyUniversity of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Annette H SohnTREAT Asia/amfAR-Foundation for AIDS Research, Thai Red Cross AIDS Research Centre, Bangkok, Thailand.
Brenda Y HernandezUniversity of Hawaii Cancer Center, Honolulu, Hawaii, USA.
Katina RobisonObstetrics & Gynecology and Medicine, The Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Providence, RI, USA.
Steve SimpsonMenzies Institute for Medical Research, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia.
Lois J ConleyDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Epidemiology Research Team, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Alexandra de PokomandyChronic Viral Illness Service, McGill University Health Centre and Department of Family Medicine, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada.
Marianne A B van der SandePublic Health Epidemiology, Head Department Public Health, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium.
Racheal S Dube MandishoraDepartment of Medical Microbiology, University of Zimbabwe College of Health Sciences, Parirenyatwa Hospital premises, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Lays P B VolpiniHealth Sciences Center, Federal University of Espírito Santo, Vitória, Brazil.
Alessandra PierangeliDepartment of Molecular Medicine, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy.
Byron RomeroProyecto Epidemiológico Guanacaste, Fundación INCIENSA, San José, Costa Rica.
Timothy WilkinWeill Cornell Medicine, New York, NY, USA.
Silvia FranceschiAviano Cancer Center, Aviano, Italy.
Carmen Hidalgo-TenorioInfectious Diseases Service, University Hospital Virgen de las Nieves, Granada, Spain.
Reshmie A RamautarsingThai Red Cross AIDS Research Centre, Bangkok, Thailand.
Ina U ParkDepartment of Family and Community Medicine, University of California San Francisco School of Medicine, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Fernanda K TsoDepartment of Gynecology of the Federal University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Sheela GodboleDivision of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, ICMR-National AIDS Research Institute, Indian Council of Medical Research, Pune, India.
Kathleen W M D'HauwersRadboud University Nijmegen, Medical Centre, Department of Urology, Nijmegen, Netherlands.
Borek SehnalDepartment of Gynecology and Obstetrics, General University Hospital and First Faculty of Medicine, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic.
Lynette J MenezesDivision of Infectious Disease, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, USA.
Sandra A HeráclioWomen's Healthcare Center, Instituto de Medicina Integral Professor Fernando Figueira, Recife, PE, Brazil; Cytopathology Division, Public Health Laboratory of the State of Pernambuco, Recife, PE, Brazil.
Gary M CliffordInternational Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France. Electronic address: cliffordg@iarc.fr.
University of California, San Francisco · USXiamen University · CNCharles University · CZInstituto Costarricense de Investigación y Enseñanza en Nutrición y Salud · CRAutonomous University of Yucatán · MXBrown University · USCancer Center of Hawaii · USCedars-Sinai Medical Center · USCenters for Disease Control and Prevention · USCentre International de Recherche sur le Cancer · FRCentro di Riferimento Oncologico · ITChinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College · CNCornell University · USGGD Amsterdam · NLHospital Universitario Virgen de las Nieves · ESInstituto de Medicina Integral Professor Fernando Figueira · BRInstituto Evandro Chagas · BRInstituut voor Tropische Geneeskunde · BEMcGill University Health Centre · CANational AIDS Research Institute · IN

Funding

University of Hawaii Cancer Center CCSGP30CA071789 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF HAWAII AT MANOA · PI GERTRAUD MASKARINEC · 1996 to 2026
$56.2M
HPV Vaccine TrialZIACP010217 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI KREIMER, AIMEE · 2011 to 2025
$42.3M
The FIOCRUZ Therapeutic and Prevention HIV/AIDS Clinical Trials Unit (FioTrials)UM1AI069476 · NIAID · FUNDACAO OSWALDO CRUZ · PI BEATRIZ GRINSZTEJN · 2012 to 2026
$26.3M
Human Papillomavirus Infection in Perinatally HIV-infected Adolescents in AsiaR01HD073972 · NICHD · FOUNDATION FOR AIDS RESEARCH · PI PHANUPHAK, NITTAYA, SOHN, ANNETTE H · 2012 to 2016
$3.1M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA071789NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI069476NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD073972World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCervical cancer screening might contribute to the prevention of anal cancer in women. We aimed to investigate if routine cervical cancer screening results-namely high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) infection and cytohistopathology-predict anal HPV16 infection, anal high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL) and, hence, anal cancer.

methodsWe did a systematic review of MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane library for studies of cervical determinants of anal HPV and HSIL published up to Aug 31, 2018. We centrally reanalysed individual-level data from 13 427 women with paired cervical and anal samples from 36 studies. We compared anal high-risk HPV prevalence by HIV status, cervical high-risk HPV, cervical cytohistopathology, age, and their combinations, using prevalence ratios (PR) and 95% CIs. Among 3255 women with anal cytohistopathology results, PRs were similarly calculated for all anal HSIL and HPV16-positive anal HSIL.

findingsCervical and anal HPV infections were highly correlated. In HIV-negative women, anal HPV16 prevalence was 41% (447/1097) in cervical HPV16-positive versus 2% (214/8663) in cervical HPV16-negative women (PR 16·5, 95% CI 14·2-19·2, p<0·0001); these values were 46% (125/273) versus 11% (272/2588) in HIV-positive women (4·4, 3·7-5·3, p<0·0001). Anal HPV16 was also associated with cervical cytohistopathology, with a prevalence of 44% [101/228] for cervical cancer in HIV-negative women (PR vs normal cytology 14·1, 11·1-17·9, p<0·0001). Anal HSIL was associated with cervical high-risk HPV, both in HIV-negative women (from 2% [11/527] in cervical high-risk HPV-negative women up to 24% [33/138] in cervical HPV16-positive women; PR 12·9, 95% CI 6·7-24·8, p<0·0001) and HIV-positive women (from 8% [84/1094] to 17% [31/186]; 2·3, 1·6-3·4, p<0·0001). Anal HSIL was also associated with cervical cytohistopathology, both in HIV-negative women (from 1% [5/498] in normal cytology up to 22% [59/273] in cervical HSIL; PR 23·1, 9·4-57·0, p<0·0001) and HIV-positive women (from 7% [105/1421] to 25% [25/101]; 3·6, 2·5-5·3, p<0·0001). Prevalence of HPV16-positive anal HSIL was 23-25% in cervical HPV16-positive women older than 45 years (5/20 in HIV-negative women, 12/52 in HIV-positive women).

interpretationHPV-based cervical cancer screening programmes might help to stratify anal cancer risk, irrespective of HIV status. For targeted secondary anal cancer prevention in high-risk groups, HIV-negative women with cervical HPV16, especially those older than 45 years, have a similar anal cancer risk profile to that of HIV-positive women.

fundingInternational Agency for Research on Cancer.

Indexed as

Early Detection of CancerAnus NeoplasmsFemaleGlobal HealthHIV SeropositivityHuman papillomavirus 16HumansPapillomavirus InfectionsPrevalenceUterine Cervical Neoplasms

Identifiers

PMID31204304
PMCPMC6656696
OpenAlexW2951051841

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.