Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31203149›Full record

ArticleDrug and alcohol dependence2019

Contagion models for the transmission of drug abuse among propinquity-of-rearing defined acquaintances: A Swedish national study.

Kenneth S Kendler, Henrik Ohlsson, Jan Sundquist, Kristina Sundquist

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Drug and alcohol dependence, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.3field-weighted citation impact, top 38% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Kenneth S KendlerVirginia Institute for Psychiatric and Behavioral Genetics, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA, USA; Department of Psychiatry, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond VA, USA. Electronic address: Kenneth.Kendler@vcuhealth.org.
Henrik OhlssonCenter for Primary Health Care Research, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden. Electronic address: Henrik.Ohlsson@med.lu.se.
Jan SundquistCenter for Primary Health Care Research, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden; Department of Family Medicine and Community Health, Department of Population Health Science and Policy, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, USA; Center for Community-based Healthcare Research and Education (CoHRE), Department of Functional Pathology, School of Medicine, Shimane University, Japan. Electronic address: Jan.Sundquist@med.lu.se.
Kristina SundquistCenter for Primary Health Care Research, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden; Department of Family Medicine and Community Health, Department of Population Health Science and Policy, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, USA; Center for Community-based Healthcare Research and Education (CoHRE), Department of Functional Pathology, School of Medicine, Shimane University, Japan. Electronic address: Kristina.Sundquist@med.lu.se.
Lund University · SEShimane University · JPVirginia Commonwealth University · US

Funding

Genetic, Social, and Developmental Epidemiology of Drug Use DisordersR01DA030005 · NIDA · VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH UNIVERSITY · PI KENNETH SEEDMAN KENDLER, JAN O SUNDQUIST · 2010 to 2026
$7.6M
NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA030005
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCan we validate a contagion model for drug abuse (DA) in Propinquity-of-Rearing Defined Acquaintances (PRDAs)?

methodsPRDAs were defined as pairs of same-age males born 1975-1990 who grew up within 2 km of each other, one of whom (PRDA1) being first registered for DA in national registries. Using adult residential location, we predicted, using regression splines, proximity-dependent risk for DA first registration in a second PRDA (PRDA2) within 3 years of PRDA1's registration.

resultsIn 181,743 PRDA pairs, the best-fit model, controlling for age and PRDA2 community risk, included 2 slopes of proximity-risk relationships in childhood and three in adulthood. Risk for DA in PRDA2 was strongly predicted by childhood proximity to PRDA1: 0 to 0.5 km - Hazard ratio (HR) per kilometer 0.52 and 0.6-2 km 0.78. HRs for PRDA2 as a function of adult proximity to PRDA1 were: 0-1 km 0.887, 1-75 km 0.996 and >75 km 0.9997. Proximity-dependent PRDA2 risk was moderated by age, familial risk and educational attainment, attenuated by increasing PRDA1-PRDA2 age differences and stronger for older to younger versus younger to older pairs.

conclusionsTransmission of DA risk between acquaintances growing up together was attenuated by increasing distance in adulthood. Strength of the acquaintance, indexed by childhood propinquity and age difference, modified transmission strength. The impact of adult proximity on transmission was reduced in acquaintances with higher resistance to DA due to older age, higher educational attainment or lower familial risk. Our results support the validity of DA contagion models.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAge FactorsChildEducational StatusFamilyFemaleFriendsGeographyHumansMaleMiddle AgedModels, TheoreticalPeer GroupRegistriesSubstance-Related DisordersAge differencesDrug abuseFamilial riskGeocoded dataMalesSocial transmission

Identifiers

PMID31203149
PMCPMC6754117
OpenAlexW2948665486

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.