Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31196874›Full record

ArticleGut2020

Introduction of anti-TNF therapy has not yielded expected declines in hospitalisation and intestinal resection rates in inflammatory bowel diseases: a population-based interrupted time series study.

Sanjay K Murthy, Jahanara Begum, Eric I Benchimol, Charles N Bernstein, Gilaad G Kaplan, Jeffrey D McCurdy, Harminder Singh, Laura Targownik, Monica Taljaard

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Gut, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 94 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
94citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
21.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

94 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 211 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Contemporary Risk of Surgery in Patients With Ulcerative Colitis and Crohn's Disease: A Meta-Analysis of Population-Based Cohorts.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2021
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  9. Single-center experience of the Crohn's disease exclusion diet in the United States: A retrospective study.Nutrition in clinical practice : official publication of the American Society for Parenteral and Enteral Nutrition · 2026
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34 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Sanjay K MurthyDepartment of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-0128-7897
Jahanara BegumICES uOttawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Eric I BenchimolSchool of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-8855-3598
Charles N BernsteinDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
Gilaad G KaplanDepartments of Medicine and Community Health Sciences, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-2719-0556
Jeffrey D McCurdyDepartment of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Harminder SinghDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
Laura TargownikDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
Monica TaljaardClinical Epidemiology Program, OttawaHospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
University of Ottawa · CAHealth Sciences Centre · CAUniversity of Calgary · CA

Funding

CIHR 162393
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo better understand the real-world impact of biologic therapy in persons with Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC), we evaluated the effect of marketplace introduction of infliximab on the population rates of hospitalisations and surgeries and public payer drug costs.

designWe used health administrative data to study adult persons with CD and UC living in Ontario, Canada between 1995 and 2012. We used an interrupted time series design with segmented regression analysis to evaluate the impact of infliximab introduction on the rates of IBD-related hospitalisations, intestinal resections and public payer drug costs over 10 years among patients with CD and 5 years among patients with UC, allowing for a 1-year transition.

resultsRelative to what would have been expected in the absence of infliximab, marketplace introduction of infliximab did not produce significant declines in the rates of CD-related hospitalisations (OR at the last observation quarter 1.06, 95% CI 0.811 to 1.39) or intestinal resections (OR 1.10, 95% CI 0.810 to 1.50), or in the rates of UC-related hospitalisations (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.39) or colectomies (OR 0.933, 95% CI 0.54 to 1.61). The findings were similar among infliximab users, except that hospitalisation rates declined substantially among UC patients following marketplace introduction of infliximab (OR 0.515, 95% CI 0.342 to 0.777). There was a threefold rise over expected trends in public payer drug cost among patients with CD following infliximab introduction (OR 2.98,95% CI 2.29 to 3.86), suggesting robust market penetration in this group, but no significant change among patients with UC (OR 1.06, 95% CI 0.955 to 1.18).

conclusionsMarketplace introduction of infliximab has not yielded anticipated reductions in the population rates of IBD-related hospitalisations or intestinal resections, despite robust market penetration among patients with CD. Misguided use of infliximab in CD patients and underuse of infliximab in UC patients may largely explain our study findings.

Indexed as

AdultColectomyColitis, UlcerativeCrohn DiseaseDrug CostsFemaleGastrointestinal AgentsHospitalizationHumansInflammatory Bowel DiseasesInterrupted Time Series AnalysisMaleMiddle AgedOntarioSocioeconomic FactorsTumor Necrosis Factor InhibitorsGastrointestinal AgentsTumor Necrosis Factor Inhibitorscrohn’s diseaseinflammatory bowel diseasesurgery for Ibdulcerative colitis

Identifiers

PMID31196874
PMCPMC6984056
OpenAlexW2949937340

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.