Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31182766›Full record

ArticleBritish journal of cancer2019

Using prognostic and predictive clinical features to make personalised survival prediction in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma patients undergoing sorafenib treatment.

Sarah Berhane, Richard Fox, Marta García-Fiñana, Alessandro Cucchetti, Philip Johnson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in British journal of cancer, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  11. Neoadjuvant Therapy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma.Journal of hepatocellular carcinoma · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Sarah BerhaneDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Richard FoxCancer Research UK Clinical Trials Unit, School of Cancer Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Marta García-FiñanaDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Alessandro CucchettiDepartment of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Alma Mater Studiorum, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.
Philip JohnsonDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK. Philip.Johnson@liverpool.ac.uk.

Funding

Cancer Research UK 25354Medical Research Council MR/L010909/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSorafenib is the current standard of care for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (aHCC) and has been shown to improve survival by about 3 months compared to placebo. However, survival varies widely from under three months to over two years. The aim of this study was to build a statistical model that allows personalised survival prediction following sorafenib treatment.

methodsWe had access to 1130 patients undergoing sorafenib treatment for aHCC as part of the control arm for two phase III randomised clinical trials (RCTs). A multivariable model was built that predicts survival based on baseline clinical features. The statistical approach permits both group-level risk stratification and individual-level survival prediction at any given time point. The model was calibrated, and its discrimination assessed through Harrell's c-index and Royston-Sauerbrei's R

resultsThe variables influencing overall survival were vascular invasion, age, ECOG score, AFP, albumin, creatinine, AST, extra-hepatic spread and aetiology. The model-predicted survival very similar to that observed. The Harrell's c-indices for training and validation sets were 0.72 and 0.70, respectively indicating good prediction.

conclusionsOur model ('PROSASH') predicts patient survival using baseline clinical features. However, it will require further validation in a routine clinical practice setting.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAntineoplastic AgentsCarcinoma, HepatocellularFemaleHumansLiver NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisSorafenibAntineoplastic AgentsSorafenib

Identifiers

PMID31182766
PMCPMC6738086

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.