Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31182036›Full record

Observational studyBMC infectious diseases2019

The impact of childhood pneumococcal vaccination on hospital admissions in England: a whole population observational study.

Tinevimbo Shiri, Noel D McCarthy, Stavros Petrou

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC infectious diseases, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 18% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. [The new 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine for the prevention ofJournal of preventive medicine and hygiene · 2023
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Tinevimbo ShiriLiverpool School of Tropical Medicine, International Public Health, Pembroke Place, L3 5QA, Liverpool, UK. tinevimbo.shiri@lstmed.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9092-3268
Noel D McCarthyPopulation Evidence and Technologies, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Gibbet Hill Road, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK.
Stavros PetrouWarwick Clinical Trials Unit, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Gibbet Hill Road, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK.
University of Warwick · GBLiverpool School of Tropical Medicine · GB

Funding

National Institute for Health Research Policy Research Programme 027/0089
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPneumococcal infections are major causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide. We use routine hospital admissions data and time-series modelling analysis to estimate the impact of the seven and thirteen valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV7 and PCV13) on hospital admissions due to pneumococcal disease in England.

methodsHospital admissions for pneumococcal meningitis, bacteraemia and pneumonia between January 1, 2003 and December 31, 2015 were identified from the national Hospital Episode Statistics database for all age groups in England. We model the impact of pneumococcal vaccination using interrupted time series analysis. Hospital admissions prior to vaccine introduction were extrapolated to predict the expected number of admissions in the absence of pneumococcal vaccines. Admissions avoided over time were estimated by comparing the fitted interrupted time series and the expected model for no vaccination in a Bayesian framework.

resultsOverall, there were 43,531 (95% credible interval (CrI): 36486-51,346) fewer hospital admissions due to bacteraemia, meningitis and pneumonia in England during the period from 2006 to 2015 than would have been expected if pneumococcal vaccines had not been implemented, with the majority of hospital admissions avoided due to pneumonia. Among young children reductions in meningitis were more common, while among adults reductions in pneumonia admissions were relatively more important, with no evidence for reduced bacteraemia and meningitis among older adults. We estimated that 981 (95% CrI: 391-2018), 749 (95% CrI: 295-1442) and 1464 (95% CrI: 793-2522) bacteraemia, meningitis and pneumonia related hospital admissions, respectively, were averted in children < 2 years of age.

conclusionsSubstantial reductions in hospital admissions for bacteraemia, meningitis and pneumonia in England were estimated after the introduction of childhood vaccination, with indirect effects being responsible for most of the hospital admissions avoided.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedChildChild, PreschoolEnglandFemaleHospitalizationHumansInfantInterrupted Time Series AnalysisMaleMeningitis, PneumococcalMiddle AgedPneumococcal InfectionsPneumococcal VaccinesPneumococcal VaccinesVaccines, ConjugateHospital admissionsIndirect effectsInterrupted time series analysisPneumococcal conjugate vaccinesPneumococcal disease

Identifiers

PMID31182036
PMCPMC6558731
OpenAlexW2950598499

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.