Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31181059›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2019

A novel integrated molecular and serological analysis method to predict new cases of leprosy amongst household contacts.

Rafael Silva Gama, Márcio Luís Moreira de Souza, Euzenir Nunes Sarno, Milton Ozório de Moraes, Aline Gonçalves, Mariane M A Stefani, Raúl Marcel González Garcia, Lucia Alves de Oliveira Fraga

Abstract readEvaluation Study
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Molecular Detection ofTropical medicine and infectious disease · 2025
    Review
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Observational
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Interplay among differential exposure toFrontiers in immunology · 2023
    Article
  10. ELISA Test Based on the Phenolic Glycolipid-I (PGL-I) ofPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Serum IgA Antibodies Specific toFrontiers in medicine · 2021
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Leprosy surveillance study in a highly endemic Brazilian area using leprosy specific serologic tests and IFNγ whole blood assay.European journal of clinical microbiology & infectious diseases : official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology · 2020
    Article
  19. Review
  20. Genomic Characterization ofFrontiers in microbiology · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Rafael Silva GamaInstitute of Biological Sciences, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ciências Biológicas-Imunologia e DIP/Genética e Biotecnologia, Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora, Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais, Brasil.
Márcio Luís Moreira de SouzaBasic Department of Health, Programa Multicêntrico de Bioquímica e Biologia Molecular, Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora-Campus GV, Governador Valadares, Minas Gerais, Brasil.
Euzenir Nunes SarnoLaboratório de Hanseníase, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz/ FIOCRUZ, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brasil.
Milton Ozório de MoraesLaboratório de Hanseníase, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz/ FIOCRUZ, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brasil.
Aline GonçalvesInstituto de Patologia Tropical e Saúde Pública, Universidade Federal de Goías, Goiania, Goiás, Brasil.
Mariane M A StefaniInstituto de Patologia Tropical e Saúde Pública, Universidade Federal de Goías, Goiania, Goiás, Brasil.
Raúl Marcel González GarciaInstitute of Biological Sciences, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ciências Biológicas-Imunologia e DIP/Genética e Biotecnologia, Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora, Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais, Brasil.
Lucia Alves de Oliveira FragaBasic Department of Health, Programa Multicêntrico de Bioquímica e Biologia Molecular, Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora-Campus GV, Governador Valadares, Minas Gerais, Brasil.ORCID 0000-0002-9238-2960

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEarly detection of Mycobacterium leprae is a key strategy for disrupting the transmission chain of leprosy and preventing the potential onset of physical disabilities. Clinical diagnosis is essential, but some of the presented symptoms may go unnoticed, even by specialists. In areas of greater endemicity, serological and molecular tests have been performed and analyzed separately for the follow-up of household contacts, who are at high risk of developing the disease. The accuracy of these tests is still debated, and it is necessary to make them more reliable, especially for the identification of cases of leprosy between contacts. We proposed an integrated analysis of molecular and serological methods using artificial intelligence by the random forest (RF) algorithm to better diagnose and predict new cases of leprosy.

methodsThe study was developed in Governador Valadares, Brazil, a hyperendemic region for leprosy. A longitudinal study was performed, including new cases diagnosed in 2011 and their respective household contacts, who were followed in 2011, 2012, and 2016. All contacts were diligently evaluated by clinicians from Reference Center for Endemic Diseases (CREDEN-PES) before being classified as asymptomatic. Samples of slit skin smears (SSS) from the earlobe of the patients and household contacts were collected for quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) of 16S rRNA, and peripheral blood samples were collected for ELISA assays to detect LID-1 and ND-O-LID.

resultsThe statistical analysis of the tests revealed sensitivity for anti-LID-1 (63.2%), anti-ND-O-LID (57.9%), qPCR SSS (36.8%), and smear microscopy (30.2%). However, the use of RF allowed for an expressive increase in sensitivity in the diagnosis of multibacillary leprosy (90.5%) and especially paucibacillary leprosy (70.6%). It is important to report that the specificity was 92.5%.

conclusionThe proposed model using RF allows for the diagnosis of leprosy with high sensitivity and specificity and the early identification of new cases among household contacts.

Indexed as

Family CharacteristicsFamily HealthAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAntibodies, BacterialArtificial IntelligenceBrazilChildChild, PreschoolDNA, BacterialDNA, RibosomalEnzyme-Linked Immunosorbent AssayFemaleHumansAntibodies, BacterialDNA, BacterialDNA, RibosomalRNA, Ribosomal, 16S

Identifiers

PMID31181059
PMCPMC6586366

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.