Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31168595›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2020

Prospective Investigation of Serum Metabolites, Coffee Drinking, Liver Cancer Incidence, and Liver Disease Mortality.

Erikka Loftfield, Joseph A Rothwell, Rashmi Sinha, Pekka Keski-Rahkonen, Nivonirina Robinot, Demetrius Albanes, Stephanie J Weinstein, Andriy Derkach, Joshua Sampson, Augustin Scalbert and 1 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed, 64 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Observational
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Current and emerging strategies for the prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma.Nature reviews. Gastroenterology & hepatology · 2025
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
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  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Characteristics of Cancer Epidemiology Studies That Employ Metabolomics: A Scoping Review.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2023
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 1 institution in 2 countries.

Erikka LoftfieldMetabolic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD.
Joseph A RothwellDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD.
Rashmi SinhaMetabolic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD.
Pekka Keski-RahkonenDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD.
Nivonirina RobinotDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD.
Demetrius AlbanesMetabolic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD.
Stephanie J WeinsteinMetabolic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD.
Andriy DerkachBiostatistics Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD.
Joshua SampsonBiostatistics Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD.
Augustin ScalbertDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD.
Neal D FreedmanMetabolic Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD.
National Cancer Institute · US

Funding

Etiologic Studies of Diet and CancerZIACP010127 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI ABNET, CHRISTIAN · 2009 to 2025
$3.5M
NCI NIH HHS HHSN261201500005CWorld Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCoffee has been consistently associated with lower risk of liver cancer and chronic liver disease, suggesting that coffee affects mechanisms underlying disease development.

methodsWe measured serum metabolites using untargeted metabolomics in 1:1 matched nested case-control studies of liver cancer (n = 221 cases) and fatal liver disease (n = 242 cases) in the Alpha-Tocopherol, Beta-Carotene Cancer Prevention cohort (n = 29 133). Associations between baseline coffee drinking and metabolites were identified using linear regression; conditional logistic regression models were used to identify associations with subsequent outcomes.

resultsOverall, 21 metabolites were associated with coffee drinking and also each subsequent endpoint; nine metabolites and trigonelline, a known coffee biomarker, were identified. Tyrosine and two bile acids, glycochenodeoxycholic acid (GCDCA) and glycocholic acid (GCA), were inversely associated with coffee but positively associated with both outcomes; odds ratios (ORs) comparing the 90th to 10th percentile (modeled on a continuous basis) ranged from 3.93 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.00 to 7.74) for tyrosine to 4.95 (95% CI = 2.64 to 9.29) for GCA and from 4.00 (95% CI = 2.42 to 6.62) for GCA to 6.77 (95% CI = 3.62 to 12.65) for GCDCA for liver cancer and fatal liver disease, respectively. The remaining six metabolites and trigonelline were positively associated with coffee drinking but inversely associated with both outcomes; odds ratio ranged from 0.16 to 0.37. Associations persisted following diet adjustment and for outcomes occurring greater than 10 years after blood collection.

conclusionsA broad range of compounds were associated with coffee drinking, incident liver cancer, and liver disease death over 27 years of follow-up. These associations provide novel insight into chronic liver disease and liver cancer etiology and support a possible hepatoprotective effect of coffee.

Indexed as

CoffeeAgedAlkaloidsCase-Control StudiesFinlandGlycochenodeoxycholic AcidGlycocholic AcidHumansIncidenceLinear ModelsLiver DiseasesLiver NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesAlkaloidsCoffeeGlycochenodeoxycholic AcidGlycocholic Acidtrigonelline

Identifiers

PMID31168595
PMCPMC7073908
OpenAlexW2970742622

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.