Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31165854›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2020

Expected Monetary Impact of Oncotype DX Score-Concordant Systemic Breast Cancer Therapy Based on the TAILORx Trial.

Angela Mariotto, Jinani Jayasekerea, Valentina Petkov, Clyde B Schechter, Lindsey Enewold, Kathy J Helzlsouer, Eric J Feuer, Jeanne S Mandelblatt

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
13.7field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 37 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  12. Oncotype DX Recurrence Score in premenopausal women.Therapeutic advances in medical oncology · 2022
    Review
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  14. Observational
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  19. Updated Overview of the SEER-Medicare Data: Enhanced Content and Applications.Journal of the National Cancer Institute. Monographs · 2020
    Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Angela MariottoDivision of Cancer Control and Population Sciences at the National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, MD.
Jinani JayasekereaDepartment of Oncology, Georgetown University Medical Center and Cancer Prevention and Control Program, Georgetown-Lombardi Comprehensive Cancer Center, Washington, DC.
Valentina PetkovDivision of Cancer Control and Population Sciences at the National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, MD.
Clyde B SchechterDepartments of Family and Social Medicine and Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY.
Lindsey EnewoldDivision of Cancer Control and Population Sciences at the National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, MD.
Kathy J HelzlsouerDivision of Cancer Control and Population Sciences at the National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, MD.
Eric J FeuerDivision of Cancer Control and Population Sciences at the National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, MD.
Jeanne S MandelblattDepartment of Oncology, Georgetown University Medical Center and Cancer Prevention and Control Program, Georgetown-Lombardi Comprehensive Cancer Center, Washington, DC.
National Institutes of Health · USGeorgetown University · USAlbert Einstein College of Medicine · US

Funding

Comparative Modeling of Precision Breast Cancer Control Across the Translational Continuum - SupplementU01CA253911 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI ALAGOZ, OGUZHAN, DE KONING, HARRY J · 2020 to 2025
$10.6M
Comparative Modeling: Informing Breast Cancer Control Practice and PolicyU01CA199218 · NCI · GEORGETOWN UNIVERSITY · PI BERRY, DONALD A, DE KONING, HARRY J · 2015 to 2019
$9.0M
Comparative Modeling: Informing Breast Cancer Control Practice & PolicyU01CA152958 · NCI · GEORGETOWN UNIVERSITY · PI BERRY, DONALD A, DE KONING, HARRY J · 2010 to 2015
$7.6M
Bio-behavioral Research At The Intersection of Cancer and AgingR35CA197289 · NCI · GEORGETOWN UNIVERSITY · PI MANDELBLATT, JEANNE · 2015 to 2021
$6.2M
A Simulation Model-based Framework to Support Oncology Guidelines and PracticeK99CA241397 · NCI · GEORGETOWN UNIVERSITY · PI JAYASEKERA, JINANI · 2020 to 2021
$351k
NCI NIH HHS K99 CA241397NCI NIH HHS R35 CA197289NCI NIH HHS U01 CA152958NCI NIH HHS U01 CA199218NCI NIH HHS U01 CA253911
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTAILORx demonstrated that women with node-negative, hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancers and Oncotype DX recurrence scores (RS) of 0-25 had similar 9-year outcomes with endocrine vs chemo-endocrine therapy; evidence for women aged 50 years and younger and RS 16-25 was less clear. We estimated how expected changes in practice following the trial might affect US costs in the initial 12 months of care (initial costs).

methodsData from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER), SEER-Medicare, and SEER-Genomic Health Inc datasets were used to estimate Oncotype DX testing and chemotherapy rates and mean initial costs pre- and post-TAILORx (in 2018 dollars), assuming all women received Oncotype DX testing and score-suggested therapy posttrial. Sensitivity analyses tested the impact on costs of assumptions about compliance with testing and score-suggested treatment and estimation methods.

resultsPretrial mean initial costs were $2.816 billion. Posttrial, Oncotype DX testing costs were projected to increase from $115 to $231 million and chemotherapy use to decrease from 25% to 17%, resulting in initial care costs of $2.766 billion, or a net savings of $49 million (1.8% decrease). A small net savings was seen under most assumptions. The one exception was if all women aged 50 years and younger with tumors with RS 16-25 elected to receive chemotherapy, initial care costs could increase by $105 million (4% increase).

conclusionsPersonalizing breast cancer treatment based on tumor genetic profiles could result in small cost decreases in the initial 12 months of care. Studies are needed to evaluate the long-term costs and nonmonetary benefits of personalized cancer care.

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorAdultAgedBreast NeoplasmsCombined Modality TherapyFemaleHealth Care CostsHumansMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingPrecision MedicinePrognosisRecurrenceSEER ProgramBiomarkers, Tumor

Identifiers

PMID31165854
PMCPMC7019096
OpenAlexW2941762804

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.