ArticleJournal of preventive medicine and public health = Yebang Uihakhoe chi2019
Incidence of Scarlet Fever in Children in Jeju Province, Korea, 2002-2016: An Age-period-cohort Analysis.
Article in Journal of preventive medicine and public health = Yebang Uihakhoe chi, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.
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4 citing papers in PubMed, 9 citations in OpenAlex.
- Epidemiological analysis of Group A streptococcus infection diseases among children in Beijing, China under COVID-19 pandemic.BMC pediatrics · 2023Article
- Forecasting the monthly incidence of scarlet fever in Chongqing, China using the SARIMA model.Epidemiology and infection · 2022Article
- Recent increase in pertussis incidence in Korea: an age-period-cohort analysis.Epidemiology and health · 2021Article
- Analysis of Epidemiological Characteristics of Scarlet Fever in Zhejiang Province, China, 2004-2018.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019Article
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3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
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Abstract
objectivesOutbreaks of scarlet fever in Mexico in 1999, Hong Kong and mainland China in 2011, and England in 2014-2016 have received global attention, and the number of notified cases in Korean children, including in Jeju Province, has also increased since 2010. To identify relevant hypotheses regarding this emerging outbreak, an age-period-cohort (APC) analysis of scarlet fever incidence was conducted among children in Jeju Province, Korea.
methodsThis study analyzed data from the nationwide insurance claims database administered by the Korean National Health Insurance Service. The inclusion criteria were children aged ≤14 years residing in Jeju Province, Korea who received any form of healthcare for scarlet fever from 2002 to 2016. The age and year variables were categorized into 5 groups, respectively. After calculating the crude incidence rate (CIR) for age and calendar year groups, the intrinsic estimator (IE) method was applied to conduct the APC analysis.
resultsIn total, 2345 cases were identified from 2002 to 2016. Scarlet fever was most common in the 0-2 age group, and boys presented more cases than girls. Since the CIR decreased with age between 2002 and 2016, the age and period effect decreased in all observed years. The IE coefficients suggesting a cohort effect shifted from negative to positive in 2009.
conclusionsThe results suggest that the recent outbreak of scarlet fever among children in Jeju Province might be explained through the cohort effect. As children born after 2009 showed a higher risk of scarlet fever, further descriptive epidemiological studies are needed.
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