ArticleScientific reports2019
Observations and Projections of Heat Waves in South America.
Article in Scientific reports, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Vulnerable to heat stress: gaps in international standard metric thresholds.International journal of biometeorology · 2024Pooled it
- Cause-specific heat-related mortality in Rio de Janeiro city: Comparing exposure metrics and the role of exposure duration.Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2026Article
- Influence of extreme heat waves as an aggravating factor in the cause of death from cardiovascular diseases in Southeast Brazil.Cadernos de saude publica · 2026Article
- Emerging changes in lake temperature extremes and variability in South America.Climatic change · 2026Article
- Review
- First Phenotypic Characterization of the Edible Fruits ofPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Individual and city-level variations in heat-related road traffic deaths in Latin America.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025Article
- Individual and city-level variations in heat-related road traffic deaths in Latin America.Nature cities · 2025Article
- Future temperature-related mortality in Latin American cities under climate change and population scenarios.Environment international · 2025Article
- The economics of climate-sensitive infectious diseases affecting human health in Latin America and the Caribbean: a scoping review.BMJ global health · 2025Article
- Article
- Projected changes in heatwaves over Central and South America using high-resolution regional climate simulations.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Rapid turnover of a pea aphid superclone mediated by thermal endurance in central Chile.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Article
- Extreme fire weather in Chile driven by climate change and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO).Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Twenty-first-century demographic and social inequalities of heat-related deaths in Brazilian urban areas.PloS one · 2024Article
- Compound climate-pollution extremes in Santiago de Chile.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Warming and drought weaken the carbon sink capacity of an endangered paleoendemic temperate rainforest in South America.Journal of geophysical research. Biogeosciences · 2023Article
- Quantifying the role of variability in future intensification of heat extremes.Nature communications · 2022Article
- The influence of soil dry-out on the record-breaking hot 2013/2014 summer in Southeast Brazil.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Persistent extreme ultraviolet irradiance in Antarctica despite the ozone recovery onset.Scientific reports · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
11 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Although Heat Waves (HWs) are expected to increase due to global warming, they are a regional phenomenon that demands for local analyses. In this paper, we assess four HW metrics (HW duration, HW frequency, HW amplitude, and number of HWs per season) as well as the share of extremely warm days (TX95, according to the 95th percentile) in South America (SA). Our analysis included observations as well as simulations from global and regional models. In particular, Regional Climate Models (RCMs) from the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX), and Global Climate Models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) were used to project both TX95 estimates and HW metrics according to two representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). We found that in recent decades the share of extremely warm days has at least doubled over the period December-January-February (DJF) in northern SA; less significant increases have been observed in southern SA. We also found that by midcentury, under the RCP4.5 scenario, extremely warm DJF days (as well as the number of HWs per season) are expected to increase by 5-10 times at locations close to the Equator and in the Atacama Desert. Increases are expected to be less pronounced in southern SA. Projections under the RCP8.5 scenario are more striking, particularly in tropical areas where half or more of the days could be extremely warm by midcentury.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.