Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31160586›Full record

ArticleNature communications2019

No trends in spring and autumn phenology during the global warming hiatus.

Xufeng Wang, Jingfeng Xiao, Xin Li, Guodong Cheng, Mingguo Ma, Gaofeng Zhu, M Altaf Arain, T Andrew Black, Rachhpal S Jassal

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed
21.4field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 284 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
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  4. Accelerated north-east shift of the global green wave trajectory.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 6 institutions in 3 countries.

Xufeng WangKey Laboratory of Remote Sensing of Gansu Province, Heihe Remote Sensing Experimental Research Station, Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 730000, Lanzhou, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3591-4091
Jingfeng XiaoEarth Systems Research Center, Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, and Space, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH, 03824, USA. j.xiao@unh.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0622-6903
Xin LiInstitute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 100101, Beijing, China. xinli@itpcas.ac.cn.
Guodong ChengKey Laboratory of Remote Sensing of Gansu Province, Heihe Remote Sensing Experimental Research Station, Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 730000, Lanzhou, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2758-6211
Mingguo MaSchool of Geographical Sciences, Southwest University, 400715, Chongqing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3783-8363
Gaofeng ZhuKey Laboratory of Western China's Environmental Systems (Ministry of Education), Lanzhou University, 730000, Lanzhou, China.
M Altaf ArainSchool of Geography and Earth Sciences, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, L8S 4K1, Canada.
T Andrew BlackBiometeorology and Soil Physics Group, Faculty of Land and Food Systems, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z4, Canada.
Rachhpal S JassalBiometeorology and Soil Physics Group, Faculty of Land and Food Systems, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z4, Canada.
Chinese Academy of Sciences · CNUniversity of British Columbia · CAUniversity of New Hampshire · USLanzhou University · CNMcMaster University · CASouthwest University · CN

Funding

National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) NNX14AJ18GNational Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) NNX16AG61GNational Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 41771466National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 91425303National Science Foundation (NSF) EF-1638688
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Phenology plays a fundamental role in regulating photosynthesis, evapotranspiration, and surface energy fluxes and is sensitive to climate change. The global mean surface air temperature data indicate a global warming hiatus between 1998 and 2012, while its impacts on global phenology remains unclear. Here we use long-term satellite and FLUXNET records to examine phenology trends in the northern hemisphere before and during the warming hiatus. Our results based on the satellite record show that the phenology change rate slowed down during the warming hiatus. The analysis of the long-term FLUXNET measurements, mainly within the warming hiatus, shows that there were no widespread advancing (or delaying) trends in spring (or autumn) phenology. The lack of widespread phenology trends partly led to the lack of widespread trends in spring and autumn carbon fluxes. Our findings have significant implications for understanding the responses of phenology to climate change and the climate-carbon feedbacks.

Identifiers

PMID31160586
PMCPMC6546754
OpenAlexW2948123395

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.