Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31159492›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2019

Illicit Cigarette Consumption and Government Revenue Loss in Vietnam: Evidence from a Primary Data Approach.

Minh T Nguyen, Son The Dao, Nga Que Nguyen, Mike Bowling, Hana Ross, Anthony D So

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Illicit Tobacco in Lithuania: A Cross-Sectional Survey.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
  5. Estimating the Magnitude of Illicit Cigarette Trade in Bangladesh: Protocol for a Mixed-Methods Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Minh T NguyenDepartment of Economics, Ball State University, Muncie, IN 47306, USA. mnguye43@uic.edu.
Son The DaoDepartment of Economics, Thuongmai University, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam. daotheson@tmu.edu.vn.
Nga Que NguyenVietnam Academy of Social Sciences, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam. nguyenquenga@gmail.com.
Mike BowlingDepartment of Health Behavior, University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA. jbowling@email.unc.edu.
Hana RossSchool of Economics, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch 7700, South Africa. hana.ross@uct.ac.za.
Anthony D SoInnovation+Design Enabling Access (IDEA) Initiative, Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA. anthony.so@jhu.edu.

Funding

The Political Economy of Tobacco Control in Southeast AsiaR01TW007924 · FIC · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI SO, ANTHONY D · 2007 to 2011
$1.7M
National Institutes of Health Fogarty International Center R01TW007924
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This article provides the first comprehensive picture and independent estimates of both illicit cigarette consumption and the resulting government tax revenue loss in Vietnam using data from a representative survey of cigarette smokers in 12 Vietnamese provinces. The survey consisted of face-to-face interviews and on-site cigarette pack examinations. We find that more than 720 million illicit cigarette packs, or 20.7% of total cigarette consumption, circulated in Vietnam in 2012. Consequently, government tax revenue loss due to illicit trade ranged from US $223 to 295 million. Our estimates also indicate that 1) the most popular illicit brands were Jet and Hero, both were sold at higher prices than the average legal brand; 2) the average price of illicit cigarettes was 51% higher than the average price of legal cigarettes; and 3) majority of illicit cigarettes were sold at convenience stores, which were registered and licensed businesses. Our findings suggest that prices are not a driver of illicit cigarette consumption in Vietnam, and this illicit trade is at least partially a consequence of weak market control enforcement.

Indexed as

Tobacco ProductsCommerceData CollectionGovernmentHumansLanguagePhysical ExaminationSmokingTaxesVietnamcigarette pricecigarette smugglingIllicit tradepack examinationprimary datatax avoidancetobaccoVietnam

Identifiers

PMID31159492
PMCPMC6603868

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.