Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31146640›Full record

ArticleStatistical methods in medical research2020

Inferring the direction of a causal link and estimating its effect via a Bayesian Mendelian randomization approach.

Ioan Gabriel Bucur, Tom Claassen, Tom Heskes

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Statistical methods in medical research, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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  15. Mendelian randomization.Nature reviews. Methods primers · 2022
    Article
  16. Review
  17. Polygenic Mendelian Randomization.Cold Spring Harbor perspectives in medicine · 2021
    Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Ioan Gabriel BucurData Science Department, Institute for Computing and Information Sciences, Radboud University, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-7852-052X
Tom ClaassenData Science Department, Institute for Computing and Information Sciences, Radboud University, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Tom HeskesData Science Department, Institute for Computing and Information Sciences, Radboud University, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-3398-5235

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The use of genetic variants as instrumental variables - an approach known as Mendelian randomization - is a popular epidemiological method for estimating the causal effect of an exposure (phenotype, biomarker, risk factor) on a disease or health-related outcome from observational data. Instrumental variables must satisfy strong, often untestable assumptions, which means that finding good genetic instruments among a large list of potential candidates is challenging. This difficulty is compounded by the fact that many genetic variants influence more than one phenotype through different causal pathways, a phenomenon called horizontal pleiotropy. This leads to errors not only in estimating the magnitude of the causal effect but also in inferring the direction of the putative causal link. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian approach called BayesMR that is a generalization of the Mendelian randomization technique in which we allow for pleiotropic effects and, crucially, for the possibility of reverse causation. The output of the method is a posterior distribution over the target causal effect, which provides an immediate and easily interpretable measure of the uncertainty in the estimation. More importantly, we use Bayesian model averaging to determine how much more likely the inferred direction is relative to the reverse direction.

Indexed as

Genetic PleiotropyMendelian Randomization AnalysisBayes TheoremCausalityGenetic VariationBayesian model averagingCausal inferencegenetic epidemiologyinstrumental variablesMendelian randomizationrobust estimationsparsity prior

Identifiers

PMID31146640
PMCPMC7221461

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.