Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31145876›Full record

ArticleThe Brazilian journal of infectious diseases : an official publication of the Brazilian Society of Infectious Diseases

Hepatitis C disease burden and strategies for elimination by 2030 in Brazil. A mathematical modeling approach.

Adele Schwartz Benzaken, Renato Girade, Elisa Catapan, Gerson Fernando Mendes Pereira, Elton Carlos de Almeida, Simone Vivaldini, Neide Fernandes, Homie Razavi, Jonathan Schmelzer, Maria Lucia Ferraz and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Brazilian journal of infectious diseases : an official publication of the Brazilian Society of Infectious Diseases. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed.

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  4. Aspects that facilitate access to care for viral hepatitis: An evaluative research.Sao Paulo medical journal = Revista paulista de medicina · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Adele Schwartz BenzakenMinistry of Health, Prevention and Control of STI, HIV/AIDS and Viral Hepatitis, Department of Surveillance, Brasília, DF, Brazil; Tropical Medicina Foundation Heitor Vieira Dourado, Manaus, Amazon, AM, Brazil.
Renato GiradeMinistry of Health, Prevention and Control of STI, HIV/AIDS and Viral Hepatitis, Department of Surveillance, Brasília, DF, Brazil.
Elisa CatapanMinistry of Health, Prevention and Control of STI, HIV/AIDS and Viral Hepatitis, Department of Surveillance, Brasília, DF, Brazil.
Gerson Fernando Mendes PereiraMinistry of Health, Prevention and Control of STI, HIV/AIDS and Viral Hepatitis, Department of Surveillance, Brasília, DF, Brazil.
Elton Carlos de AlmeidaMinistry of Health, Prevention and Control of STI, HIV/AIDS and Viral Hepatitis, Department of Surveillance, Brasília, DF, Brazil.
Simone VivaldiniMinistry of Health, Prevention and Control of STI, HIV/AIDS and Viral Hepatitis, Department of Surveillance, Brasília, DF, Brazil.
Neide FernandesMinistry of Health, Prevention and Control of STI, HIV/AIDS and Viral Hepatitis, Department of Surveillance, Brasília, DF, Brazil.
Homie RazaviCenter for Disease Analysis Foundation, Polaris Observatory, Lafayette, CO, USA.
Jonathan SchmelzerCenter for Disease Analysis Foundation, Polaris Observatory, Lafayette, CO, USA.
Maria Lucia FerrazFederal University of São Paulo, Gastroenterology Division, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.
Paulo Roberto Abrão FerreiraFederal University of São Paulo, Infectious Diseases Division, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.
Mario Guimarães PessoaUniversity of São Paulo School of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.
Ana MartinelliUniversity of São Paulo School of Medicine, Department of Medicine, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.
Francisco José Dutra SoutoFederal University of Mato Grosso, School of Medicine, Cuiabá, MT, Brazil.
Nick WalshPan American Health Organization (PAHO), Department of Communicable Diseases and Environmental Determinants of Health, Washington, DC, USA.
Maria Cassia Mendes-CorreaMinistry of Health, Prevention and Control of STI, HIV/AIDS and Viral Hepatitis, Department of Surveillance, Brasília, DF, Brazil; University of São Paulo School of Medicine, Lim/52, Tropical Medicine Institute, São Paulo, SP, Brazil. Electronic address: cassiamc@uol.com.br.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

INTRODUCTION AND

aimHepatitis C is a key challenge to public health in Brazil. The objective of this paper was to describe the Brazilian strategy for hepatitis C to meet the 2030 elimination goal proposed by World Health Organization (WHO).

methodsA mathematical modeling approach was used to estimate the current HCV-infected Brazilian population, and to evaluate the relative costs of two different scenarios to address HCV disease burden in Brazil: (1) if no further changes are made to the HCV treatment program in Brazil; (2) where the WHO targets for 2030 elimination are met through diagnosis and treatment efforts peaking before 2024.

resultsAn anti-HCV prevalence of 0.53% was calculated for the total population. It was estimated that the number of HCV-RNA+ individuals in Brazil in 2017 was 632,000 (0.31% of the population). Scale-up of treatment and diagnosis over time will be necessary in order to achieve WHO targets beginning in 2018. Direct costs (diagnostic, treatment and healthcare costs) are projected to increase significantly during the scale-up of treatment and diagnosis in the initial years of the intervention scenario, but then fall below the base case on an annual basis by 2025-2036, once HCV is eliminated, due to health sectors savings from the prevention of HCV liver-related morbidity and mortality.

conclusionAchieving the WHO targets is technically feasible in Brazil with a scale-up of treatment and diagnosis over time, beginning in 2018. However, elimination of hepatitis C requires policy changes to substantially scale-up prevention, screening and treatment of HCV, together with public health advocacy to raise awareness among affected populations and healthcare providers.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedBrazilChildChild, PreschoolDisease EradicationGenotypeHepacivirusHepatitis CHumansIncidenceInfantMiddle AgedModels, TheoreticalWorld Health OrganizationBrazilHepatitis CHepatitis C disease burdenHepatitis C elimination

Identifiers

PMID31145876
PMCPMC9428180

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.