Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31143944›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2020

Implementation of Syringe Services Programs to Prevent Rapid Human Immunodeficiency Virus Transmission in Rural Counties in the United States: A Modeling Study.

William C Goedel, Maximilian R F King, Mark N Lurie, Sandro Galea, Jeffrey P Townsend, Alison P Galvani, Samuel R Friedman, Brandon D L Marshall

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.8field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. A Review of Network Models for HIV Spread.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2025
    Pooled it
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  9. Applications of agent-based modeling in trauma research.Psychological trauma : theory, research, practice and policy · 2023
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Estimated Number of People Who Inject Drugs in the United States.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2023
    Article
  12. Factors associated with perceived ease of access to syringes in Appalachian North Carolina.The Journal of rural health : official journal of the American Rural Health Association and the National Rural Health Care Association · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

William C GoedelDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island.
Maximilian R F KingDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island.
Mark N LurieDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island.
Sandro GaleaDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Boston University, Massachusetts.
Jeffrey P TownsendDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut.
Alison P GalvaniDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut.
Samuel R FriedmanNational Development and Research Institutes, Inc, New York, New York.
Brandon D L MarshallDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island.
Brown University · USYale University · USBoston University · USNational Development and Research Institutes · US

Funding

Project 4: Neonatal Abstinence Syndrome (NAS): Fetus to First YearsP20GM125507 · NIGMS · RHODE ISLAND HOSPITAL · PI TRACI C GREEN · 2018 to 2026
$23.4M
The Brown Initiative in HIV and AIDS Clinical Research for Minority CommunitiesR25MH083620 · NIMH · MIRIAM HOSPITAL · PI NUNN, AMY STEWART · 2008 to 2025
$3.7M
Highly Adaptive Epidemic Control Strategies for HIV Prevention in Drug UsersDP2DA040236 · NIDA · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI MARSHALL, BRANDON DAVID LEWIS · 2015 to 2015
$2.4M
NIDA NIH HHS DP2 DA040236NIGMS NIH HHS P20 GM125507NIMH NIH HHS R25 MH083620
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSyringe services programs (SSPs) are effective venues for delivering harm-reduction services to people who inject drugs (PWID). However, SSPs often face significant barriers to implementation, particularly in the absence of known human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) outbreaks.

methodsUsing an agent-based model, we simulated HIV transmission in Scott County, Indiana, a rural county with a 1.7% prevalence of injection drug use. We compared outcomes arising in the absence of an SSP, in the presence of a pre-existing SSP, and with implementation of an SSP after the detection of an HIV outbreak among PWID over 5 years following the introduction of a single infection into the network.

resultsIn the absence of an SSP, the model predicted an average of 176 infections among PWID over 5 years or an incidence rate of 12.1/100 person-years. Proactive implementation averted 154 infections and decreased incidence by 90.3%. With reactive implementation beginning operations 10 months after the first infection, an SSP would prevent 107 infections and decrease incidence by 60.8%. Reductions in incidence were also observed among people who did not inject drugs.

conclusionsBased on model predictions, proactive implementation of an SSP in Scott County had the potential to avert more HIV infections than reactive implementation after the detection of an outbreak. The predicted impact of reactive SSP implementation was highly dependent on timely implementation after detecting the earliest infections. Consequently, there is a need for expanded proactive SSP implementation in the context of enhanced monitoring of outbreak vulnerability in Scott County and similar rural contexts.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsPharmaceutical PreparationsSubstance Abuse, IntravenousHIVHumansIndianaKentuckyNeedle-Exchange ProgramsSyringesUnited StatesPharmaceutical Preparationsagent-based modelingHIVinjection drug userural healthsyringe services

Identifiers

PMID31143944
PMCPMC7319062
OpenAlexW2947312714

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.