Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31139672›Full record

ArticleOpen forum infectious diseases2019

Using Machine Learning and the Electronic Health Record to Predict Complicated

Benjamin Y Li, Jeeheh Oh, Vincent B Young, Krishna Rao, Jenna Wiens

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Open forum infectious diseases, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.2field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 57 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
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  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Derivation and internal validation of the multivariate toxigenicAntimicrobial stewardship & healthcare epidemiology : ASHE · 2024
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  9. Graph convolutional network-based fusion model to predict risk of hospital acquired infections.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2023
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  10. The future of automated infection detection: Innovation to transform practice (Part III/III).Antimicrobial stewardship & healthcare epidemiology : ASHE · 2023
    Review
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Continually-Adaptive Representation Learning Framework for Time-Sensitive Healthcare Applications.Proceedings of the ... ACM International Conference on Information & Knowledge Management. ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management · 2023
    Article
  14. External Validation and Comparison of Clostridioides difficile Severity Scoring Systems.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2022
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Modern Machine-Learning Predictive Models for Diagnosing Infectious Diseases.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2022
    Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Benjamin Y LiDepartment of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Jeeheh OhDepartment of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Vincent B YoungDepartment of Internal Medicine/Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Krishna RaoDepartment of Internal Medicine/Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Jenna WiensDepartment of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
University of Michigan–Ann Arbor · US

Funding

Systems biology of Clostridium difficile infectionU01AI124255 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI SCHLOSS, PATRICK DAVID, YOUNG, VINCENT B · 2016 to 2020
$9.8M
NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI124255
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

background

methodsWe considered adult patients diagnosed with CDI between October 2010 and January 2013 at the University of Michigan hospitals. Cases were labeled complicated if the infection resulted in ICU admission, colectomy, or 30-day mortality. Leveraging EHR data, we trained a model to predict subsequent complications on each of the 3 days after diagnosis. We compared our EHR-based model to one based on a small set of manually curated features. We evaluated model performance using a held-out data set in terms of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC).

resultsOf 1118 cases of CDI, 8% became complicated. On the day of diagnosis, the model achieved an AUROC of 0.69 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.55-0.83). Using data extracted 2 days after CDI diagnosis, performance increased (AUROC, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.83-0.95), outperforming a model based on a curated set of features (AUROC, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.75-0.91).

conclusionsUsing EHR data, we can accurately stratify CDI cases according to their risk of developing complications. Such an approach could be used to guide future clinical studies investigating interventions that could prevent or mitigate complicated CDI.

Indexed as

Clostridium (Clostridioides) difficile infectioncomplicationselectronic health recordsmachine learningpatient risk stratification

Identifiers

PMID31139672
PMCPMC6527086
OpenAlexW2936708417

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.