Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31138804›Full record

ArticleNature communications2019

African elephant poaching rates correlate with local poverty, national corruption and global ivory price.

Severin Hauenstein, Mrigesh Kshatriya, Julian Blanc, Carsten F Dormann, Colin M Beale

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Using lessons from criminal justice research to improve conservation law enforcement research and practice.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2026
    Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Financing conservation by valuing carbon services produced by wild animals.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  11. Social Disruption Impairs Predatory Threat Assessment in African Elephants.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2022
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Severin HauensteinDepartment of Biometry and Environmental System Analysis, University of Freiburg, 79106, Freiburg, Germany. severin.hauenstein@biom.uni-freiburg.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8003-0944
Mrigesh KshatriyaUnited Nations Environment Programme, MIKE - CITES Secretariat, P.O. Box. 30552-00100, Nairobi, Kenya.
Julian BlancUnited Nations Environment Programme, MIKE - CITES Secretariat, P.O. Box. 30552-00100, Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4331-5339
Carsten F DormannDepartment of Biometry and Environmental System Analysis, University of Freiburg, 79106, Freiburg, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9835-1794
Colin M BealeDepartment of Biology, University of York, YO10 5DD, York, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2960-5666

Funding

RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) NE/N001370/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Poaching is contributing to rapid declines in elephant populations across Africa. Following high-profile changes in the political environment, the overall number of illegally killed elephants in Africa seems to be falling, but to evaluate potential conservation interventions we must understand the processes driving poaching rates at local and global scales. Here we show that annual poaching rates in 53 sites strongly correlate with proxies of ivory demand in the main Chinese markets, whereas between-country and between-site variation is strongly associated with indicators of corruption and poverty. Our analysis reveals a recent decline in annual poaching mortality rate from an estimated peak of over 10% in 2011 to <4% in 2017. Based on these findings, we suggest that continued investment in law enforcement could further reduce poaching, but is unlikely to succeed without action that simultaneously reduces ivory demand and tackles corruption and poverty.

Indexed as

Conservation of Natural ResourcesElephantsAfricaAnimalsChinaCommerceCrimeHumansPoverty

Identifiers

PMID31138804
PMCPMC6538616

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.