Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31134664›Full record

ArticleStatistics in medicine2019

Participants' outcomes gone missing within a network of interventions: Bayesian modeling strategies.

Loukia M Spineli, Chrysostomos Kalyvas, Konstantinos Pateras

Abstract readNetwork Meta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Article in Statistics in medicine, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Loukia M SpineliMidwifery Research and Education Unit, Hannover Medical School, Hannover, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-9515-582X
Chrysostomos KalyvasDepartment of Biostatistics and Research Decision Sciences, MSD Europe Inc, Brussels, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0003-0606-4518
Konstantinos PaterasDepartment of Biostatistics and Research Support, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-6005-9798

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo investigate the implications of addressing informative missing binary outcome data (MOD) on network meta-analysis (NMA) estimates while applying the missing at random (MAR) assumption under different prior structures of the missingness parameter.

methodsIn three motivating examples, we compared six different prior structures of the informative missingness odds ratio (IMOR) parameter in logarithmic scale under pattern-mixture and selection models. Then, we simulated 1000 triangle networks of two-arm trials assuming informative MOD related to interventions. We extended the Bayesian random-effects NMA model for binary outcomes and node-splitting approach to incorporate these 12 models in total. With interval plots, we illustrated the posterior distribution of log OR, common between-trial variance (τ

resultsAll models gave similar point estimates for all NMA estimates regardless of simulation scenario. For moderate and large MOD, intervention-specific prior structure of log IMOR led to larger posterior standard deviation of log ORs compared to trial-specific and common-within-network prior structures. Hierarchical prior structure led to slightly more precise τ

conclusionsAnalyzing informative MOD assuming MAR with different prior structures of log IMOR affected mainly the precision of NMA estimates. Reviewers should decide in advance on the prior structure of log IMOR that best aligns with the condition and interventions investigated.

Indexed as

Bayes TheoremBiasComputer SimulationHumansBayesian methodsmissing outcome datanetwork meta-analysispattern-mixture modelsimulation study

Identifiers

PMID31134664
PMCPMC7754380

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