Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31127079›Full record

ArticleTranslational psychiatry2019

Alzheimer's disease polygenic risk score as a predictor of conversion from mild-cognitive impairment.

Sultan Chaudhury, Keeley J Brookes, Tulsi Patel, Abigail Fallows, Tamar Guetta-Baranes, James C Turton, Rita Guerreiro, Jose Bras, John Hardy, Paul T Francis and 4 more

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Translational psychiatry, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 57 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
57citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

57 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Utility of Polygenic Risk Scores in Families with Exceptional Longevity.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Validation of newly derived polygenic risk scores for dementia in a prospective study of older individuals.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2023
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Sultan ChaudhuryHuman Genetics Group, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
Keeley J BrookesHuman Genetics Group, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK. keeley.brookes@nottingham.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2427-2513
Tulsi PatelHuman Genetics Group, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
Abigail FallowsHuman Genetics Group, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
Tamar Guetta-BaranesHuman Genetics Group, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
James C TurtonHuman Genetics Group, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
Rita GuerreiroUK Dementia Research Institute at University College London and ION Department of Neurodegenerative Disease, London, UK.
Jose BrasUK Dementia Research Institute at University College London and ION Department of Neurodegenerative Disease, London, UK.
John HardyUK Dementia Research Institute at University College London and ION Department of Neurodegenerative Disease, London, UK.
Paul T FrancisBrains for Dementia Research Resource, Wolfson CARD, King's College London, London, UK.
Rebecca CroucherFaculty of Medicine, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Clive HolmesFaculty of Medicine, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Kevin MorganHuman Genetics Group, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8217-2396
A J ThomasInstitute of Neuroscience Biomedical Research Building Campus for Ageing and Vitality Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE4 5PL, UK.

Funding

National Centralized Repository for Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias (NCRAD)U24AG021886 · NIA · INDIANA UNIV-PURDUE UNIV AT INDIANAPOLIS · PI TATIANA M. FOROUD · 2002 to 2026
$119.8M
NATIONAL ALZHEIMERS COORDINATING CENTER (NACC)U01AG016976 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI KUKULL, WALTER ANTHONY · 1999 to 2020
$72.8M
Alzheimer's Disease Genetics ConsortiumU01AG032984 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI SCHELLENBERG, GERARD DAVID · 2009 to 2024
$60.4M
National Alzheimer's Coordinating CenterU24AG072122 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI STEPHENS, KARI A · 2021 to 2025
$45.8M
CHARGE Consortium: Omics Discovery for CVD and Aging PhenotypesR01HL105756 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI Bruce M Psaty, NICHOLAS L SMITH · 2011 to 2026
$9.5M
Collaborative GWAS of Dementia, AD and related MRI and Cognitive EndophenotypesR01AG033193 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI SESHADRI, SUDHA · 2009 to 2016
$4.4M
AGES STUDY-THE REYKJAVIK STUDY OF HEALTHY AGING FOR THE NEW MILLENNIUM-26012100N01AG012100 · NIA · ICELANDIC HEART ASSOCIATION · 2002 to 2004
–
Medical Research Council G0400074Medical Research Council G0701075Medical Research Council G0901254Medical Research Council G1001253Medical Research Council G1100540Medical Research Council MR/J004758/1Medical Research Council MR/K01417X/1Medical Research Council MR/L501542/1NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL105756NIA NIH HHS N01 AG012100NIA NIH HHS R01 AG033193NIA NIH HHS U01 AG016976NIA NIH HHS U01 AG032984NIA NIH HHS U24 AG021886NIA NIH HHS U24 AG072122Parkinson's UK G-1307Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Mild-cognitive impairment (MCI) occurs in up to one-fifth of individuals over the age of 65, with approximately a third of MCI individuals converting to dementia in later life. There is a growing necessity for early identification for those at risk of dementia as pathological processes begin decades before onset of symptoms. A cohort of 122 individuals diagnosed with MCI and followed up for a 36-month period for conversion to late-onset Alzheimer's disease (LOAD) were genotyped on the NeuroChip array along with pathologically confirmed cases of LOAD and cognitively normal controls. Polygenic risk scores (PRS) for each individual were generated using PRSice-2, derived from summary statistics produced from the International Genomics of Alzheimer's Disease Project (IGAP) genome-wide association study. Predictability models for LOAD were developed incorporating the PRS with APOE SNPs (rs7412 and rs429358), age and gender. This model was subsequently applied to the MCI cohort to determine whether it could be used to predict conversion from MCI to LOAD. The PRS model for LOAD using area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) calculated a predictability for LOAD of 82.5%. When applied to the MCI cohort predictability for conversion from MCI to LOAD was 61.0%. Increases in average PRS scores across diagnosis group were observed with one-way ANOVA suggesting significant differences in PRS between the groups (p < 0.0001). This analysis suggests that the PRS model for LOAD can be used to identify individuals with MCI at risk of conversion to LOAD.

Indexed as

Disease ProgressionModels, GeneticAgedAged, 80 and overAge of OnsetAlzheimer DiseaseApolipoprotein E4Cognitive DysfunctionFemaleHumansMaleModels, NeurologicalPrognosisRiskApolipoprotein E4

Identifiers

PMID31127079
PMCPMC6534556

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.